TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065225
Played Sep 3Finished
Michal Vedmoch
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141141210––––
Jaroslav Prokupek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Vedmoch to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Vedmoch above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 52 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Michal Vedmoch at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vedmoch 22–32 Jaroslav Prokupek Michal Vedmoch has won 22 of their 54 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:33What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vedmoch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-32 in 54
Prokupek
Wrong
gap of 10 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vedmoch 1619 vs Prokupek 1420
Vedmoch
Correct
both rated, 199 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vedmoch 80% vs Prokupek 40%
Vedmoch
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vedmoch 80% vs Prokupek 30%
Vedmoch
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vedmoch +1 · Prokupek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vedmoch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokupek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVedmoch 1.80 / Prokupek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vedmoch)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065225
Vedmoch1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 206 of 328
Up 2–0, closes it96% 99 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it80% 156 of 194
Prokupek1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog42% won 98 of 231
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVedmoch6wins
AwayProkupek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVedmoch leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVedmoch100%4 of 4
AwayProkupek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vedmoch4Prokupek6n = 10Prokupek took 6 of 10
S2Vedmoch2Prokupek8n = 10Prokupek took 8 of 10
S3Vedmoch7Prokupek3n = 10Vedmoch took 7 of 10
S4Vedmoch6Prokupek1n = 7Vedmoch took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVedmochProkupekV − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.436.7−1.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVedmochProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime702 / 1308 vs 635 / 133353.7%47.6%702 / 1308 vs 635 / 1333Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VedmochVedmoch 1.80/Prokupek 1.91
Hit
What we said
54.3%
Vedmoch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vedmoch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 16 · 09:30M. Vedmoch—81111113J. Prokupek—119671
WJul 16 · 07:30M. Vedmoch—31114123J. Prokupek—11712101
WJul 8 · 24:00M. Vedmoch—111111113J. Prokupek—913851
LJun 18 · 17:00M. Vedmoch—9660J. Prokupek—1111113
WJun 18 · 14:00M. Vedmoch—1111115113J. Prokupek—71371192
WJun 18 · 24:30M. Vedmoch—11211113J. Prokupek—811571
LJun 1 · 10:00M. Vedmoch—3760J. Prokupek—1111113
WMay 30 · 16:30M. Vedmoch—11811113J. Prokupek—811981
LMay 22 · 03:30M. Vedmoch—7380J. Prokupek—1111113
LMay 22 · 01:30M. Vedmoch—99111192J. Prokupek—111167113
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 4 · 03:30J. Trefny1.909960M. Vedmoch1.801111113WSep 4 · 02:30J. Dedek2.385650M. Vedmoch1.531111113WSep 4 · 01:00J. Plachy2.20411681M. Vedmoch1.6111611113LSep 3 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.571110111252J. Trefny2.25812814113WSep 3 · 13:29J. Plachy2.107650M. Vedmoch1.671111113LSep 3 · 12:00J. Plachy2.2091111113M. Vedmoch1.61117941WSep 3 · 11:00M. Kolar2.758161151M. Vedmoch1.4011186113WSep 3 · 10:30M. Vedmoch1.801211113J. Prokupek1.9110880WSep 2 · 13:30J. Plachy2.00311651M. Vedmoch1.7311711113LSep 2 · 12:00J. Dedek2.38131198113M. Vedmoch1.53116111162
J. Prokupek10
LSep 7 · 07:30J. Prokupek3.2510670J. Svoboda1.331211113WSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113LSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.2581111113J. Trefny1.57117741LSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750WSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461LSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113LSep 3 · 10:30M. Vedmoch1.801211113J. Prokupek1.9110880
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