TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087434
Played Sep 7Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012611711––––
Jan Svoboda
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:04 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeJan Svoboda to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Jan Svoboda below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 57 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jan Svoboda at 59.3%
57 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 0–1 Jan Svoboda Jaroslav Prokupek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:04What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1467 vs Svoboda 1652
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 185 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 40% vs Svoboda 60%
Svoboda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 40% vs Svoboda 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek +1 · Svoboda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Svoboda) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 3.25 / Svoboda 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Svoboda)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087434
Prokupek3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 101 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back17% 21 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 77
Svoboda1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeProkupek0wins
AwaySvoboda1wins
Svoboda leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricProkupekSvobodaP − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match23.034.0−11.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime642 / 1351 vs 9 / 1547.5%60%642 / 1351 vs 9 / 15Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaProkupek 3.25/Svoboda 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.7%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 7 · 07:30J. Prokupek—10670J. Svoboda—1211113
J. Prokupek10
WSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113LSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.2581111113J. Trefny1.57117741LSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750WSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461LSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113LSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 4 · 16:58J. Prokupek1.50581111113D. Parhomenko2.5011117582
J. Svoboda10
WSep 7 · 08:00J. Svoboda1.361112113J. Plachy3.0051090LSep 7 · 06:00J. Svoboda1.251165121J. Trefny3.7581111143WSep 5 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.361111113R. Pavelka3.008550WSep 5 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.2581111113R. Pavelka3.75117471LSep 5 · 07:00J. Svoboda2.2010111081M. Sedlak1.6112412113WSep 5 · 06:00T. Holik1.918750J. Svoboda1.801111113WAug 30 · 08:58P. Budinsky2.208290J. Svoboda1.611111113WAug 30 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.73118611113P. Budinsky2.0071111872LAug 30 · 07:00J. Svoboda1.803121161J. Stolfa1.91111013113LAug 30 · 06:00J. Hradecky1.531181011113J. Svoboda2.3851112792
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