TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077467
Played Sep 5Finished
Tomas Holik
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711511––––
Jan Svoboda
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:12 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeJan Svoboda to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Holik above · Jan Svoboda below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 53 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Jan Svoboda at 68.9%
53 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Holik 0–1 Jan Svoboda Tomas Holik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:12What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Holik 1531 vs Svoboda 1647
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holik 0% vs Svoboda 40%
Svoboda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holik 20% vs Svoboda 60%
Svoboda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holik -5 · Svoboda +2
Holik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svoboda) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolik 1.91 / Svoboda 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Svoboda)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077467
Holik1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 13 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back19% 3 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Svoboda1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 4 of 8
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHolik0wins
AwaySvoboda1wins
Svoboda leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricHolikSvobodaH − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match20.033.0−13.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolikSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 164 vs 7 / 1244.5%58.3%73 / 164 vs 7 / 12Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaHolik 1.91/Svoboda 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 5 · 06:00T. Holik—8750J. Svoboda—1111113
T. Holik10
WSep 5 · 09:00M. Sedlak3.252690T. Holik1.331111113WSep 5 · 08:00T. Holik1.831191011223M. Sedlak1.83811125202LSep 5 · 07:30R. Pavelka2.251161111113T. Holik1.5751113792LAug 17 · 12:59R. Wagner1.531111113T. Holik2.388680LAug 17 · 12:00R. Wagner1.6121111113T. Holik2.20117841LAug 17 · 11:00F. Pusch1.731311113T. Holik2.0011670LAug 17 · 10:30T. Holik3.405790V. Cermak1.301111113LAug 17 · 08:58T. Holik1.8069130J. Zuzanek1.911111153LAug 17 · 08:30T. Holik1.917111371R. Wagner1.80111311113LAug 17 · 07:00T. Holik1.8378120F. Pusch1.831111143
J. Svoboda10
LSep 7 · 06:00J. Svoboda1.251165121J. Trefny3.7581111143WSep 5 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.361111113R. Pavelka3.008550WSep 5 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.2581111113R. Pavelka3.75117471LSep 5 · 07:00J. Svoboda2.2010111081M. Sedlak1.6112412113WAug 30 · 08:58P. Budinsky2.208290J. Svoboda1.611111113WAug 30 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.73118611113P. Budinsky2.0071111872LAug 30 · 07:00J. Svoboda1.803121161J. Stolfa1.91111013113LAug 30 · 06:00J. Hradecky1.531181011113J. Svoboda2.3851112792LAug 17 · 13:28M. Sobisek1.671111113J. Svoboda2.106430WAug 17 · 12:00J. Svoboda1.5091111113D. Tuma2.50115841
Upcoming Matches
T. Holik
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J. Svoboda
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