TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12444275
Played Aug 17Finished
Frantisek Pusch
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311116117––––
Tomas Holik
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Pusch to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Pusch above · Tomas Holik below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 59 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Frantisek Pusch at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Pusch 1–0 Tomas Holik Tomas Holik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:51What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pusch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pusch 1658 vs Holik 1559
Pusch
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pusch 60% vs Holik 20%
Pusch
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pusch 70% vs Holik 40%
Pusch
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pusch +1 · Holik -4
Holik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pusch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holik form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPusch 1.73 / Holik 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pusch)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12444275
Pusch1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite48% won 20 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it64% 14 of 22
Holik2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog54% won 13 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back27% 3 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePusch1wins
AwayHolik0wins
Pusch leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPuschHolikP − HBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match36.027.0+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPuschHolikBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 105 vs 77 / 16549.5%46.7%52 / 105 vs 77 / 165Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PuschPusch 1.73/Holik 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pusch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pusch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 17 · 07:00F. Pusch—1111143T. Holik—78120
F. Pusch10
WAug 18 · 17:30F. Pusch1.781111153M. Sychra1.8648130WAug 18 · 16:30R. Wagner1.445970F. Pusch2.631111113WAug 18 · 15:30F. Pusch1.831111113S. Kasnik1.836750WAug 18 · 14:30M. Sychra1.737640F. Pusch2.001111113LAug 18 · 13:30R. Wagner1.5011911113F. Pusch2.50911981WAug 18 · 12:00F. Pusch2.251211113M. Sychra1.5710570LAug 18 · 11:30R. Wagner1.5311911113F. Pusch2.38711991WAug 18 · 10:00F. Pusch1.53811811113V. Cermak2.3811611282WAug 17 · 13:30F. Pusch1.67117116113V. Cermak2.1091171112WAug 17 · 12:30F. Pusch1.831511113V. Cermak1.8313780
T. Holik10
WSep 5 · 09:00M. Sedlak3.252690T. Holik1.331111113WSep 5 · 08:00T. Holik1.831191011223M. Sedlak1.83811125202LSep 5 · 07:30R. Pavelka2.251161111113T. Holik1.5751113792LSep 5 · 06:00T. Holik1.918750J. Svoboda1.801111113LAug 17 · 12:59R. Wagner1.531111113T. Holik2.388680LAug 17 · 12:00R. Wagner1.6121111113T. Holik2.20117841LAug 17 · 10:30T. Holik3.405790V. Cermak1.301111113LAug 17 · 08:58T. Holik1.8069130J. Zuzanek1.911111153LAug 17 · 08:30T. Holik1.917111371R. Wagner1.80111311113LAug 17 · 07:00T. Holik1.8378120F. Pusch1.831111143
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