TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12444159
Played Aug 17Finished
Frantisek Pusch
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1513117118––––
Vladimir Cermak
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:28 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeVladimir Cermak to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFrantisek Pusch above · Vladimir Cermak below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 65 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Vladimir Cermak at 57.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Pusch 1–0 Vladimir Cermak Vladimir Cermak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:28What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Cermak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pusch 1679 vs Cermak 1589
Pusch
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pusch 80% vs Cermak 40%
Pusch
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pusch 70% vs Cermak 30%
Pusch
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pusch +2 · Cermak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pusch) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cermak form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPusch 1.83 / Cermak 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pusch)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12444159
Pusch1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Cermak1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePusch1wins
AwayCermak0wins
Pusch leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPuschCermakP − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match37.028.0+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPuschCermakBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 107 vs 541 / 104550.5%51.8%54 / 107 vs 541 / 1045Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PuschPusch 1.83/Cermak 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pusch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pusch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 17 · 12:30F. Pusch—1511113V. Cermak—13780
F. Pusch10
WAug 18 · 17:30F. Pusch1.781111153M. Sychra1.8648130WAug 18 · 16:30R. Wagner1.445970F. Pusch2.631111113WAug 18 · 15:30F. Pusch1.831111113S. Kasnik1.836750WAug 18 · 14:30M. Sychra1.737640F. Pusch2.001111113LAug 18 · 13:30R. Wagner1.5011911113F. Pusch2.50911981WAug 18 · 12:00F. Pusch2.251211113M. Sychra1.5710570LAug 18 · 11:30R. Wagner1.5311911113F. Pusch2.38711991WAug 18 · 10:00F. Pusch1.53811811113V. Cermak2.3811611282WAug 17 · 13:30F. Pusch1.67117116113V. Cermak2.1091171112WAug 17 · 11:00F. Pusch1.731311113T. Holik2.0011670
V. Cermak10
LSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101LSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113WSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:30M. Volf1.618860V. Cermak2.201111113LSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113WSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272WSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113LAug 18 · 10:00F. Pusch1.53811811113V. Cermak2.3811611282LAug 17 · 13:30F. Pusch1.67117116113V. Cermak2.1091171112
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