TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12449978
Played Aug 18Finished
Frantisek Pusch
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117115––––
Sebastian Kasnik
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Pusch to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Pusch above · Sebastian Kasnik below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 51 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Frantisek Pusch at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:03What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kasnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Pusch 1683 vs Kasnik 1635
Pusch
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pusch 60% vs Kasnik 80%
Kasnik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pusch 70% vs Kasnik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pusch +1 · Kasnik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pusch) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasnik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPusch 1.83 / Kasnik 1.83
Signal prob.56% / 45%
Edge (Pusch)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12449978
Pusch1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kasnik1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPuschKasnikBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 113 vs 446 / 93551.3%47.7%58 / 113 vs 446 / 935Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PuschPusch 1.83/Kasnik 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Pusch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pusch won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Pusch10
WAug 18 · 17:30F. Pusch1.781111153M. Sychra1.8648130WAug 18 · 16:30R. Wagner1.445970F. Pusch2.631111113WAug 18 · 14:30M. Sychra1.737640F. Pusch2.001111113LAug 18 · 13:30R. Wagner1.5011911113F. Pusch2.50911981WAug 18 · 12:00F. Pusch2.251211113M. Sychra1.5710570LAug 18 · 11:30R. Wagner1.5311911113F. Pusch2.38711991WAug 18 · 10:00F. Pusch1.53811811113V. Cermak2.3811611282WAug 17 · 13:30F. Pusch1.67117116113V. Cermak2.1091171112WAug 17 · 12:30F. Pusch1.831511113V. Cermak1.8313780WAug 17 · 11:00F. Pusch1.731311113T. Holik2.0011670
S. Kasnik10
LSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:00V. Vejvoda1.579950S. Kasnik2.251111113LSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113LSep 4 · 13:30S. Kasnik2.108750V. Vejvoda1.651111113LSep 4 · 12:30P. Saleny1.40811611113S. Kasnik2.7511711872WSep 4 · 11:30S. Kasnik2.2012117113V. Vejvoda1.611061181WSep 4 · 10:30R. Wagner1.571311510102S. Kasnik2.251191112123LSep 4 · 08:58S. Kasnik2.25117981R. Wagner1.5781111113LSep 4 · 08:00S. Kasnik2.75111051322P. Saleny1.405121111113
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