TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12449945
Played Aug 17Finished
Frantisek Pusch
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119711117611111
Vladimir Cermak
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:01 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Pusch to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Pusch above · Vladimir Cermak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-1
Point 85 set 5, 11-1 — our read held Frantisek Pusch at 62.2%
85 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:01What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pusch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Pusch 1679 vs Cermak 1589
Pusch
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pusch 80% vs Cermak 40%
Pusch
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pusch 70% vs Cermak 30%
Pusch
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pusch +2 · Cermak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Pusch) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pusch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPusch 1.67 / Cermak 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Pusch)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12449945
Pusch1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 20 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it64% 14 of 22
Cermak2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 85 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back28% 28 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPuschCermakBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 107 vs 541 / 104550.5%51.8%54 / 107 vs 541 / 1045Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PuschPusch 1.67/Cermak 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.8%
Pusch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pusch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 17 · 12:30F. Pusch—1511113V. Cermak—13780
F. Pusch10
WAug 18 · 17:30F. Pusch1.781111153M. Sychra1.8648130WAug 18 · 16:30R. Wagner1.445970F. Pusch2.631111113WAug 18 · 15:30F. Pusch1.831111113S. Kasnik1.836750WAug 18 · 14:30M. Sychra1.737640F. Pusch2.001111113LAug 18 · 13:30R. Wagner1.5011911113F. Pusch2.50911981WAug 18 · 12:00F. Pusch2.251211113M. Sychra1.5710570LAug 18 · 11:30R. Wagner1.5311911113F. Pusch2.38711991WAug 18 · 10:00F. Pusch1.53811811113V. Cermak2.3811611282WAug 17 · 12:30F. Pusch1.831511113V. Cermak1.8313780WAug 17 · 11:00F. Pusch1.731311113T. Holik2.0011670
V. Cermak10
LSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101LSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113WSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:30M. Volf1.618860V. Cermak2.201111113LSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113WSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272WSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113LAug 18 · 10:00F. Pusch1.53811811113V. Cermak2.3811611282LAug 17 · 12:30F. Pusch1.831511113V. Cermak1.8313780
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