TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12456348
Played Aug 18Finished
Frantisek Pusch
Home
1.78
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141181513––––
Martin Sychra
Away
1.86
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Pusch to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Pusch above · Martin Sychra below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 15-13
Point 62 set 3, 15-13 — our read held Frantisek Pusch at 54.0%
62 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Pusch 2–5 Martin Sychra Frantisek Pusch has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:19What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.78 (51%)
Pusch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Sychra
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pusch 1712 vs Sychra 1668
Pusch
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pusch 80% vs Sychra 60%
Pusch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pusch 80% vs Sychra 50%
Pusch
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pusch +3 · Sychra +2
Pusch
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pusch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pusch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPusch 1.78 / Sychra 1.86
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pusch)+2.9pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12456348
Pusch1.78
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 23 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it68% 17 of 25
Sychra1.86
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 179 of 380
Down 0–1, comes back25% 48 of 195
Down 0–2, comes back7% 8 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePusch2wins
AwaySychra5wins
2 of 7 to a deciderSychra leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePusch66.7%2 of 3
AwaySychra100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pusch3Sychra4n = 7Sychra took 4 of 7
S2Pusch2Sychra5n = 7Sychra took 5 of 7
S3Pusch5Sychra2n = 7Pusch took 5 of 7
S4Pusch2Sychra2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricPuschSychraP − SBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match36.938.3−1.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPuschSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime61 / 116 vs 800 / 151352.6%52.9%61 / 116 vs 800 / 1513Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PuschPusch 1.78/Sychra 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pusch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pusch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 18 · 12:00F. Pusch—1211113M. Sychra—10570
LApr 12 · 09:00F. Pusch—6980M. Sychra—1111113
LApr 12 · 07:00F. Pusch—871181M. Sychra—11117113
LMar 6 · 11:00F. Pusch—96131252M. Sychra—11111110113
LFeb 23 · 12:00F. Pusch—119411122M. Sychra—911115143
LFeb 22 · 19:30F. Pusch—9811111M. Sychra—11118133
WFeb 22 · 16:00F. Pusch—1411113M. Sychra—12680
F. Pusch10
WAug 18 · 16:30R. Wagner1.445970F. Pusch2.631111113WAug 18 · 15:30F. Pusch1.831111113S. Kasnik1.836750WAug 18 · 14:30M. Sychra1.737640F. Pusch2.001111113LAug 18 · 13:30R. Wagner1.5011911113F. Pusch2.50911981WAug 18 · 12:00F. Pusch2.251211113M. Sychra1.5710570LAug 18 · 11:30R. Wagner1.5311911113F. Pusch2.38711991WAug 18 · 10:00F. Pusch1.53811811113V. Cermak2.3811611282WAug 17 · 13:30F. Pusch1.67117116113V. Cermak2.1091171112WAug 17 · 12:30F. Pusch1.831511113V. Cermak1.8313780WAug 17 · 11:00F. Pusch1.731311113T. Holik2.0011670
M. Sychra10
LSep 7 · 03:30M. Sychra2.40371191J. Louda1.5011117113WSep 7 · 01:30M. Sychra2.5012111112113J. Louda1.50149131062WSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113WSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:30M. Sychra2.251111123K. Schopf1.5798100LSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113WSep 6 · 01:30K. Schopf1.5710690M. Sychra2.251211113LSep 6 · 24:00M. Sychra1.678911101J. Tazler2.1011118123LAug 18 · 14:30M. Sychra1.737640F. Pusch2.001111113LAug 18 · 12:00F. Pusch2.251211113M. Sychra1.5710570
Upcoming Matches
F. Pusch
Nothing scheduled
M. Sychra1 of 1 neutral
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