TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12444293
Played Aug 17Finished
Tomas Holik
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7118111214––––
Frantisek Pusch
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Pusch to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Holik above · Frantisek Pusch below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 63 set 3, 12-14 — our read held Frantisek Pusch at 54.0%
63 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Holik 0–2 Frantisek Pusch Tomas Holik has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:54What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Pusch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Holik 1515 vs Pusch 1712
Pusch
Correct
both rated, 197 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holik 60% vs Pusch 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holik 70% vs Pusch 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holik +2 · Pusch -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Pusch) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolik 1.83 / Pusch 1.83
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Pusch)+11.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12444293
Holik1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Pusch1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHolik0wins
AwayPusch2wins
Pusch leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away2
These 2 meetings
MetricHolikPuschH − PBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match25.535.5−10.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolikPuschBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 168 vs 61 / 11645.8%52.6%77 / 168 vs 61 / 116Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PuschHolik 1.83/Pusch 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61%
Pusch · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pusch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 17 · 11:00T. Holik—11670F. Pusch—1311113
LAug 17 · 07:00T. Holik—78120F. Pusch—1111143
T. Holik10
WSep 5 · 09:00M. Sedlak3.252690T. Holik1.331111113WSep 5 · 08:00T. Holik1.831191011223M. Sedlak1.83811125202LSep 5 · 07:30R. Pavelka2.251161111113T. Holik1.5751113792LSep 5 · 06:00T. Holik1.918750J. Svoboda1.801111113LAug 17 · 12:59R. Wagner1.531111113T. Holik2.388680LAug 17 · 12:00R. Wagner1.6121111113T. Holik2.20117841LAug 17 · 11:00F. Pusch1.731311113T. Holik2.0011670LAug 17 · 10:30T. Holik3.405790V. Cermak1.301111113LAug 17 · 08:58T. Holik1.8069130J. Zuzanek1.911111153LAug 17 · 08:30T. Holik1.917111371R. Wagner1.80111311113
F. Pusch10
WAug 18 · 17:30F. Pusch1.781111153M. Sychra1.8648130WAug 18 · 16:30R. Wagner1.445970F. Pusch2.631111113WAug 18 · 15:30F. Pusch1.831111113S. Kasnik1.836750WAug 18 · 14:30M. Sychra1.737640F. Pusch2.001111113LAug 18 · 13:30R. Wagner1.5011911113F. Pusch2.50911981WAug 18 · 12:00F. Pusch2.251211113M. Sychra1.5710570LAug 18 · 11:30R. Wagner1.5311911113F. Pusch2.38711991WAug 18 · 10:00F. Pusch1.53811811113V. Cermak2.3811611282WAug 17 · 13:30F. Pusch1.67117116113V. Cermak2.1091171112WAug 17 · 11:00F. Pusch1.731311113T. Holik2.0011670
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