TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077459
Played Sep 5Finished
Tomas Holik
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11891110121152220
Marek Sedlak
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:11 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeMarek Sedlak to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Holik above · Marek Sedlak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 22-20
Point 119 set 5, 22-20 — our read held Marek Sedlak at 57.4%
119 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Holik 5–3 Marek Sedlak Marek Sedlak has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:11What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sedlak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Holik
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holik 1506 vs Sedlak 1483
Holik
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holik 0% vs Sedlak 40%
Sedlak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holik 10% vs Sedlak 40%
Sedlak
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holik -5 · Sedlak +1
Holik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Holik) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedlak form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolik 1.83 / Sedlak 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Holik)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077459
Holik1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Sedlak1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeHolik5wins
AwaySedlak3wins
7 of 8 to a deciderHolik leads 5–3, and 7 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolik100%3 of 3
AwaySedlak60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holik3Sedlak5n = 8Sedlak took 5 of 8
S2Holik2Sedlak6n = 8Sedlak took 6 of 8
S3Holik3Sedlak5n = 8Sedlak took 5 of 8
S4Holik6Sedlak1n = 7Holik took 6 of 7
S5Holik5Sedlak2n = 7Holik took 5 of 7
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home563%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricHolikSedlakH − SBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match49.046.6+2.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolikSedlakBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 167 vs 70 / 14245.5%49.3%76 / 167 vs 70 / 142Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolikHolik 1.83/Sedlak 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Holik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Holik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 5 · 08:00T. Holik—1191011223M. Sedlak—811125202
WSep 9 · 17:30T. Holik—1591211113M. Sedlak—131114862
LSep 9 · 14:30T. Holik—7590M. Sedlak—1111113
LAug 23 · 21:00T. Holik—791411132M. Sedlak—1111128153
LAug 23 · 19:00T. Holik—29111282M. Sedlak—1111810113
WAug 1 · 13:30T. Holik—119118153M. Sedlak—411911132
WAug 1 · 11:30T. Holik—1011811113M. Sedlak—12511442
WMay 22 · 18:30T. Holik—711911113M. Sedlak—11811642
T. Holik10
WSep 5 · 09:00M. Sedlak3.252690T. Holik1.331111113LSep 5 · 07:30R. Pavelka2.251161111113T. Holik1.5751113792LSep 5 · 06:00T. Holik1.918750J. Svoboda1.801111113LAug 17 · 12:59R. Wagner1.531111113T. Holik2.388680LAug 17 · 12:00R. Wagner1.6121111113T. Holik2.20117841LAug 17 · 11:00F. Pusch1.731311113T. Holik2.0011670LAug 17 · 10:30T. Holik3.405790V. Cermak1.301111113LAug 17 · 08:58T. Holik1.8069130J. Zuzanek1.911111153LAug 17 · 08:30T. Holik1.917111371R. Wagner1.80111311113LAug 17 · 07:00T. Holik1.8378120F. Pusch1.831111143
M. Sedlak10
LSep 5 · 09:00M. Sedlak3.252690T. Holik1.331111113WSep 5 · 07:00J. Svoboda2.2010111081M. Sedlak1.6112412113LSep 5 · 06:30M. Sedlak1.806780R. Pavelka1.911111113WSep 3 · 21:00M. Sedlak1.611211113T. Vinter2.2010990LSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133LSep 3 · 19:30V. Postelt2.381111113M. Sedlak1.535560WSep 3 · 18:00M. Sedlak1.80121111113T. Vinter1.911013251LAug 26 · 16:58M. Sedlak1.806760M. Vizek1.911111113LAug 26 · 16:30M. Sedlak1.80101411101J. Stolfa1.9112169123WAug 26 · 15:00M. Sedlak1.83661211113M. Vizek1.83111110982
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