TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065178
Played Sep 3Finished
Vladimir Postelt
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115115116––––
Marek Sedlak
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Sedlak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVladimir Postelt above · Marek Sedlak below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 49 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Marek Sedlak at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Postelt 1–0 Marek Sedlak Marek Sedlak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:32What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Sedlak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Postelt 1486 vs Sedlak 1476
Postelt
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Postelt 0% vs Sedlak 40%
Sedlak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Postelt 10% vs Sedlak 30%
Sedlak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Postelt -5 · Sedlak +1
Postelt
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Sedlak) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedlak form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 2.38 / Sedlak 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Sedlak)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065178
Postelt2.38
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 46 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back25% 14 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Sedlak1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite10% won 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePostelt1wins
AwaySedlak0wins
Postelt leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPosteltSedlakP − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.016.0+17.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltSedlakBasisWin rate · lifetime432 / 812 vs 73 / 14353.2%51.1%432 / 812 vs 73 / 143Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedlakPostelt 2.38/Sedlak 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Sedlak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 3 · 19:30V. Postelt—1111113M. Sedlak—5560
V. Postelt10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161LSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193WSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113LSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:00J. Dedek2.757680V. Postelt1.401111113LSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291LSep 4 · 18:30V. Postelt1.441011124122M. Placek2.631271011143LSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960
M. Sedlak10
LSep 5 · 09:00M. Sedlak3.252690T. Holik1.331111113LSep 5 · 08:00T. Holik1.831191011223M. Sedlak1.83811125202WSep 5 · 07:00J. Svoboda2.2010111081M. Sedlak1.6112412113LSep 5 · 06:30M. Sedlak1.806780R. Pavelka1.911111113WSep 3 · 21:00M. Sedlak1.611211113T. Vinter2.2010990LSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133WSep 3 · 18:00M. Sedlak1.80121111113T. Vinter1.911013251LAug 26 · 16:58M. Sedlak1.806760M. Vizek1.911111113LAug 26 · 16:30M. Sedlak1.80101411101J. Stolfa1.9112169123WAug 26 · 15:00M. Sedlak1.83661211113M. Vizek1.83111110982
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