TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13073641
Played Sep 3Finished
Marek Sedlak
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210119119––––
Tomas Vinter
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:59 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMarek Sedlak to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Sedlak above · Tomas Vinter below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 62 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Marek Sedlak at 57.7%
62 points played in total.
H2H Marek Sedlak 1–2 Tomas Vinter Marek Sedlak has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:59What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sedlak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sedlak 1451 vs Vinter 1463
Vinter
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlak 20% vs Vinter 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlak 20% vs Vinter 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlak -4 · Vinter -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Sedlak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vinter form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlak 1.61 / Vinter 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Sedlak)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13073641
Sedlak1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite10% won 1 of 10
Vinter2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 46 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSedlak1wins
AwayVinter2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderVinter leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sedlak1Vinter2n = 3Vinter took 2 of 3
S2Sedlak0Vinter3n = 3Vinter took 3 of 3
S3Sedlak3Vinter0n = 3Sedlak took 3 of 3
S4Sedlak2Vinter1n = 3Sedlak took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSedlakVinterS − VBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match40.339.7+0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlakVinterBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 144 vs 268 / 53050.7%50.6%73 / 144 vs 268 / 530Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedlakSedlak 1.61/Vinter 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Sedlak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sedlak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 3 · 18:00M. Sedlak—121111113T. Vinter—1013251
LAug 20 · 17:00M. Sedlak—37111182T. Vinter—111199113
LAug 20 · 15:00M. Sedlak—6101191T. Vinter—11124113
M. Sedlak10
LSep 5 · 09:00M. Sedlak3.252690T. Holik1.331111113LSep 5 · 08:00T. Holik1.831191011223M. Sedlak1.83811125202WSep 5 · 07:00J. Svoboda2.2010111081M. Sedlak1.6112412113LSep 5 · 06:30M. Sedlak1.806780R. Pavelka1.911111113LSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133LSep 3 · 19:30V. Postelt2.381111113M. Sedlak1.535560WSep 3 · 18:00M. Sedlak1.80121111113T. Vinter1.911013251LAug 26 · 16:58M. Sedlak1.806760M. Vizek1.911111113LAug 26 · 16:30M. Sedlak1.80101411101J. Stolfa1.9112169123WAug 26 · 15:00M. Sedlak1.83661211113M. Vizek1.83111110982
T. Vinter10
LSep 3 · 20:30T. Vinter1.738280V. Postelt2.001111113LSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113LSep 3 · 18:00M. Sedlak1.80121111113T. Vinter1.911013251LSep 1 · 21:12J. Dedek2.1511118113T. Vinter1.63221121LSep 1 · 20:00T. Vinter1.5010340M. Vedmoch2.501211113WSep 1 · 19:30J. Dedek2.20119511112T. Vinter1.61911118133LSep 1 · 18:00T. Vinter1.36861181M. Kolar3.0011119113WAug 30 · 20:59T. Vinter2.251111123T. Janata1.5795100WAug 30 · 20:30T. Vinter3.001112123T. Janata1.36410100LAug 30 · 19:00T. Vinter2.758150M. Nohejl1.401111113
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