TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13041785
Played Aug 30Finished
Tomas Vinter
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11412101210––––
Tomas Janata
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:09 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeTomas Janata to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Vinter above · Tomas Janata below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 59 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Tomas Janata at 73.2%
59 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vinter 2–7 Tomas Janata Tomas Vinter has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:09What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Janata
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Janata
Wrong
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vinter 1458 vs Janata 1546
Janata
Wrong
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vinter 40% vs Janata 0%
Vinter
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vinter 20% vs Janata 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vinter -3 · Janata -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Janata)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Janata form (0%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVinter 3.00 / Janata 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Janata)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13041785
Vinter3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 45 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Janata1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 111 of 171
Up 2–0, closes it93% 49 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it78% 77 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeVinter2wins
AwayJanata7wins
1 of 9 to a deciderJanata leads 7–2, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVinter50%2 of 4
AwayJanata100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vinter4Janata5n = 9Janata took 5 of 9
S2Vinter3Janata6n = 9Janata took 6 of 9
S3Vinter1Janata8n = 9Janata took 8 of 9
S4Vinter2Janata2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away444%
These 9 meetings
MetricVinterJanataV − JBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match29.734.0−4.3per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVinterJanataBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 528 vs 429 / 82150.8%52.3%268 / 528 vs 429 / 821Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataVinter 3.00/Janata 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.2%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vinter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 26 · 14:00T. Vinter—1186111T. Janata—71111133
LAug 21 · 07:00T. Vinter—116861T. Janata—11111113
LJun 23 · 20:00T. Vinter—8630T. Janata—1111113
LMay 6 · 20:58T. Vinter—31171172T. Janata—119116113
LMay 6 · 18:00T. Vinter—10670T. Janata—1211113
LApr 7 · 18:00T. Vinter—4960T. Janata—1111113
WMar 3 · 22:28T. Vinter—11118113T. Janata—541141
LMar 3 · 21:00T. Vinter—15580T. Janata—1711113
WJul 9 · 07:30T. Vinter—1111113T. Janata—7480
T. Vinter10
LSep 3 · 21:00M. Sedlak1.611211113T. Vinter2.2010990LSep 3 · 20:30T. Vinter1.738280V. Postelt2.001111113LSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113LSep 3 · 18:00M. Sedlak1.80121111113T. Vinter1.911013251LSep 1 · 21:12J. Dedek2.1511118113T. Vinter1.63221121LSep 1 · 20:00T. Vinter1.5010340M. Vedmoch2.501211113WSep 1 · 19:30J. Dedek2.20119511112T. Vinter1.61911118133LSep 1 · 18:00T. Vinter1.36861181M. Kolar3.0011119113WAug 30 · 20:59T. Vinter2.251111123T. Janata1.5795100LAug 30 · 19:00T. Vinter2.758150M. Nohejl1.401111113
T. Janata10
LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721LSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102WSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113WSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:30T. Janata2.00119891R. Krejci1.7381111113LAug 30 · 20:59T. Vinter2.251111123T. Janata1.5795100
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