TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071655
Played Sep 5Finished
Patrik Pycha
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5111131210511911
Tomas Janata
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePatrik Pycha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPatrik Pycha above · Tomas Janata below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 88 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Patrik Pycha at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Pycha 24–24 Tomas Janata Dead even across their 48 meetings.
Last 10 · 2–8Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:07What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Janata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-24 in 48
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pycha 1625 vs Janata 1523
Pycha
Wrong
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pycha 40% vs Janata 60%
Janata
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pycha 40% vs Janata 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pycha -1 · Janata +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Janata) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pycha form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPycha 1.91 / Janata 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Janata)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071655
Pycha1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 20 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back21% 7 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Janata1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 112 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it76% 78 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePycha2wins
AwayJanata8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderJanata leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePycha33.3%1 of 3
AwayJanata85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pycha3Janata7n = 10Janata took 7 of 10
S2Pycha1Janata9n = 10Janata took 9 of 10
S3Pycha7Janata3n = 10Pycha took 7 of 10
S4Pycha3Janata4n = 7Janata took 4 of 7
S5Pycha1Janata4n = 5Janata took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPychaJanataP − JBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.843.4−6.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPychaJanataBasisWin rate · lifetime491 / 933 vs 424 / 80852.6%52.5%491 / 933 vs 424 / 808Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataPycha 1.91/Janata 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Janata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 02:58P. Pycha—771171T. Janata—11118113
LAug 29 · 24:30P. Pycha—712111482T. Janata—1114812113
WJun 14 · 02:00P. Pycha—12911113T. Janata—1011961
LJun 7 · 03:28P. Pycha—10840T. Janata—1211113
WJun 7 · 02:30P. Pycha—1171311113T. Janata—131111962
LMay 10 · 02:00P. Pycha—11711562T. Janata—511811113
LMay 4 · 22:00P. Pycha—61214642T. Janata—11101211113
LMay 2 · 02:30P. Pycha—13711722T. Janata—1111511113
LApr 12 · 24:00P. Pycha—10970T. Janata—1211113
LApr 7 · 24:00P. Pycha—5580T. Janata—1111113
P. Pycha10
LSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350LSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173WSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113LAug 29 · 02:58T. Janata1.9111118113P. Pycha1.80771171WAug 29 · 02:00P. Budinsky2.20771121P. Pycha1.6111118113LAug 29 · 24:30P. Pycha1.91712111482T. Janata1.801114812113LAug 28 · 23:00P. Pycha2.009111111112S. Kadavy1.73111369133LAug 28 · 22:00D. Tuma2.1091111133P. Pycha1.671186111WAug 15 · 03:30P. Pycha1.9531111113D. Tuma1.75117881
T. Janata10
LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721LSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102WSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:30T. Janata2.00119891R. Krejci1.7381111113WAug 29 · 02:58T. Janata1.9111118113P. Pycha1.80771171WAug 29 · 24:30P. Pycha1.91712111482T. Janata1.801114812113
Upcoming Matches
P. Pycha
Nothing scheduled
T. Janata
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