TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12437672
Played Aug 15Finished
Patrik Pycha
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
311117118118––
Daniel Tuma
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePatrik Pycha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatrik Pycha above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 70 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Patrik Pycha at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Pycha 46–41 Daniel Tuma Daniel Tuma has won 41 of their 87 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Tuma
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-41 in 87
Pycha
Correct
gap of 5 in 87, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pycha 1649 vs Tuma 1601
Pycha
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pycha 80% vs Tuma 60%
Pycha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pycha 60% vs Tuma 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pycha +1 · Tuma +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tuma) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pycha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPycha 1.95 / Tuma 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Tuma)+1.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12437672
Pycha1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 26 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back17% 7 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Tuma1.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 158 of 253
Up 2–0, closes it96% 77 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it78% 118 of 152
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePycha9wins
AwayTuma1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPycha leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePycha100%6 of 6
AwayTuma25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pycha6Tuma4n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S2Pycha6Tuma4n = 10Pycha took 6 of 10
S3Pycha8Tuma2n = 10Pycha took 8 of 10
S4Pycha6Tuma0n = 6Pycha took 6 of 6
S5Pycha3Tuma1n = 4Pycha took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPychaTumaP − TBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.131.6+7.5per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPychaTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime517 / 979 vs 765 / 146852.8%52.1%517 / 979 vs 765 / 1468Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaPycha 1.95/Tuma 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pycha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 18 · 01:00P. Pycha—1211113D. Tuma—10950
WJul 13 · 22:00P. Pycha—1061111113D. Tuma—12118672
WJul 5 · 03:30P. Pycha—11114113D. Tuma—551171
WJul 4 · 22:00P. Pycha—116711113D. Tuma—81111572
WJun 29 · 22:00P. Pycha—1111113D. Tuma—8750
WJun 20 · 24:30P. Pycha—71211113D. Tuma—1110591
LMay 23 · 22:00P. Pycha—55131272D. Tuma—11111110113
WMay 23 · 02:30P. Pycha—1111113D. Tuma—8450
WMar 29 · 24:00P. Pycha—371111113D. Tuma—11114492
WMar 10 · 22:30P. Pycha—1111113D. Tuma—8140
P. Pycha10
LSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350LSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113LSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173WSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113LAug 29 · 02:58T. Janata1.9111118113P. Pycha1.80771171WAug 29 · 02:00P. Budinsky2.20771121P. Pycha1.6111118113LAug 29 · 24:30P. Pycha1.91712111482T. Janata1.801114812113LAug 28 · 23:00P. Pycha2.009111111112S. Kadavy1.73111369133LAug 28 · 22:00D. Tuma2.1091111133P. Pycha1.671186111
D. Tuma10
WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133WSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113WSep 3 · 18:30D. Tuma1.40111212113V. Postelt2.757101481WSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:00D. Tuma1.911111113J. Stolfa1.809770LSep 3 · 15:30M. Sobisek2.00118119133D. Tuma1.73411711112WSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 1 · 21:28D. Tuma1.91128511113K. Kapras1.80101111492WAug 28 · 22:00D. Tuma2.1091111133P. Pycha1.671186111
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