TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13063582
Played Sep 3Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11712101214118––
Vladimir Postelt
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:59 and never touched — 70.8% is still 70.8%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
70.8%
70.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Vladimir Postelt below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 85 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 70.8%
85 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 23–16 Vladimir Postelt Vladimir Postelt has won 16 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:59What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Tuma
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-16 in 39
Tuma
Correct
gap of 7 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1649 vs Postelt 1471
Tuma
Correct
both rated, 178 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 80% vs Postelt 0%
Tuma
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 90% vs Postelt 20%
Tuma
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma +2 · Postelt -5
Postelt
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Tuma) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 1.40 / Postelt 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Tuma)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13063582
Tuma1.40
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 148 of 249
Up 2–0, closes it93% 70 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it76% 112 of 147
Postelt2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 46 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back25% 14 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuma8wins
AwayPostelt2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTuma leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma100%5 of 5
AwayPostelt40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma5Postelt5n = 10split evenly
S2Tuma7Postelt3n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S3Tuma6Postelt4n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S4Tuma3Postelt5n = 8Postelt took 5 of 8
S5Tuma5Postelt0n = 5Tuma took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTumaPosteltT − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.040.1+2.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime775 / 1479 vs 431 / 81152.4%53.1%775 / 1479 vs 431 / 811Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaTuma 1.40/Postelt 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 20:30D. Tuma—1111711113V. Postelt—46111362
WJun 8 · 20:30D. Tuma—1112133V. Postelt—410110
WApr 25 · 23:00D. Tuma—1171110143V. Postelt—611712122
WMar 11 · 01:30D. Tuma—11129113V. Postelt—8101131
WFeb 27 · 21:00D. Tuma—10111211113V. Postelt—121310982
LJan 31 · 02:00D. Tuma—551141V. Postelt—11116113
WJan 13 · 19:30D. Tuma—912124123V. Postelt—11101011102
LJan 13 · 18:30D. Tuma—8117101V. Postelt—11611123
WJan 13 · 17:00D. Tuma—812411113V. Postelt—111011662
WJan 12 · 03:00D. Tuma—1112133V. Postelt—810110
D. Tuma10
WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133WSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113WSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:00D. Tuma1.911111113J. Stolfa1.809770LSep 3 · 15:30M. Sobisek2.00118119133D. Tuma1.73411711112WSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 1 · 21:28D. Tuma1.91128511113K. Kapras1.80101111492WSep 1 · 20:30D. Tuma2.20117117113K. Kapras1.6141161152WSep 1 · 19:00D. Tuma1.831113113S. Kadavy1.8391180
V. Postelt10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161LSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193WSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113LSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:00J. Dedek2.757680V. Postelt1.401111113LSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291LSep 4 · 18:30V. Postelt1.441011124122M. Placek2.631271011143LSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960
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