TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077703
Played Sep 5Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611114711118811
Vladimir Postelt
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Prokupek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Vladimir Postelt below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 88 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jaroslav Prokupek at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 40–39 Vladimir Postelt Vladimir Postelt has won 39 of their 79 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:09What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Postelt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-39 in 79
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1475 vs Postelt 1461
Prokupek
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 40% vs Postelt 20%
Prokupek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 40% vs Postelt 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek -1 · Postelt -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Postelt) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 2.00 / Postelt 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Postelt)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077703
Prokupek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 101 of 240
Down 0–1, comes back17% 20 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 75
Postelt1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 119 of 191
Up 2–0, closes it95% 57 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it85% 94 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProkupek6wins
AwayPostelt4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderProkupek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupek83.3%5 of 6
AwayPostelt75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek6Postelt4n = 10Prokupek took 6 of 10
S2Prokupek5Postelt5n = 10split evenly
S3Prokupek7Postelt3n = 10Prokupek took 7 of 10
S4Prokupek4Postelt3n = 7Prokupek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricProkupekPosteltProkupek − PosteltBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.034.7+2.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime639 / 1342 vs 430 / 81447.6%52.8%639 / 1342 vs 430 / 814Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltProkupek 2.00/Postelt 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 16 · 23:00J. Prokupek—1111113V. Postelt—5750
WJul 6 · 02:58J. Prokupek—991111113V. Postelt—11119652
WJul 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek—11811133V. Postelt—7119111
WJun 19 · 10:00J. Prokupek—11113113V. Postelt—791191
LJun 3 · 23:30J. Prokupek—1111861V. Postelt—13711113
LMay 31 · 03:30J. Prokupek—1071181V. Postelt—12119113
LMay 30 · 22:00J. Prokupek—671161V. Postelt—11116113
LMay 30 · 17:00J. Prokupek—13531352V. Postelt—11111111113
WMay 30 · 14:30J. Prokupek—1111113V. Postelt—1880
WMay 25 · 10:00J. Prokupek—1111113V. Postelt—6480
J. Prokupek10
WSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113LSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.2581111113J. Trefny1.57117741LSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750WSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461LSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 4 · 16:58J. Prokupek1.50581111113D. Parhomenko2.5011117582LSep 4 · 16:30J. Prokupek3.104770F. Just1.301111113
V. Postelt10
LSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161LSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193LSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:00J. Dedek2.757680V. Postelt1.401111113LSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291LSep 4 · 18:30V. Postelt1.441011124122M. Placek2.631271011143LSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:30T. Vinter1.738280V. Postelt2.001111113
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