TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13096929
Played Sep 8Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1412511611611––
Daniel Kouble
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Kouble to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Daniel Kouble below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 76 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Daniel Kouble at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 5–13 Daniel Kouble Jaroslav Prokupek has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Prokupek beat Kouble 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:19What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kouble
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-13 in 18
Kouble
Correct
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1508 vs Kouble 1527
Kouble
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 60% vs Kouble 40%
Prokupek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 50% vs Kouble 20%
Prokupek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek -1 · Kouble -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kouble) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kouble form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 2.25 / Kouble 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Kouble)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13096929
Prokupek2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 101 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back17% 21 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 77
Kouble1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite48% won 12 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it53% 8 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProkupek3wins
AwayKouble7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKouble leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupek25%1 of 4
AwayKouble66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek4Kouble6n = 10Kouble took 6 of 10
S2Prokupek4Kouble6n = 10Kouble took 6 of 10
S3Prokupek4Kouble6n = 10Kouble took 6 of 10
S4Prokupek1Kouble8n = 9Kouble took 8 of 9
S5Prokupek3Kouble1n = 4Prokupek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricProkupekKoubleP − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.741.8−4.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekKoubleBasisWin rate · lifetime646 / 1358 vs 105 / 22147.6%47.5%646 / 1358 vs 105 / 221Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoubleProkupek 2.25/Kouble 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Kouble · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kouble won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 03:30J. Prokupek—145661D. Kouble—121111113
WSep 8 · 24:30J. Prokupek—118119143D. Kouble—911711122
LMay 12 · 23:00J. Prokupek—116591D. Kouble—91111113
LApr 15 · 03:00J. Prokupek—6680D. Kouble—1111113
WApr 15 · 02:00J. Prokupek—411117113D. Kouble—11591172
LFeb 26 · 22:30J. Prokupek—911971D. Kouble—11511113
LFeb 26 · 19:00J. Prokupek—971191D. Kouble—11117113
WFeb 3 · 01:30J. Prokupek—611711113D. Kouble—11911942
LDec 23 · 03:30J. Prokupek—11911762D. Kouble—711411113
LNov 25 · 04:30J. Prokupek—911791D. Kouble—11611113
J. Prokupek10
LSep 8 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801111123J. Prokupek1.9184100LSep 8 · 20:00J. Prokupek1.914890T. Dousa1.801111113WSep 8 · 19:30J. Plachy1.8091110101J. Prokupek1.9111712123WSep 8 · 18:00J. Prokupek1.91118117113J. Dedek1.8091191182LSep 8 · 02:00P. Fojt2.25911911113J. Prokupek1.5711511752WSep 8 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.25118119143D. Kouble1.57911711122WSep 7 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911111163J. Dedek1.8085140WSep 7 · 22:00V. Postelt1.83791371J. Prokupek1.83111111113LSep 7 · 09:29J. Svoboda1.40111111123J. Prokupek2.750138101WSep 7 · 08:30J. Trefny1.507930J. Prokupek2.501111113
D. Kouble10
LSep 8 · 01:30D. Kouble1.83112121112J. Dedek1.83811147113LSep 8 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.25118119143D. Kouble1.57911711122WSep 7 · 23:30V. Postelt2.3894100D. Kouble1.531111123WSep 7 · 22:30D. Kouble1.80811112113P. Fojt1.9111861162LSep 5 · 02:30S. Kadavy1.801111113D. Kouble1.919180LSep 5 · 01:00R. Krejci1.6111114113D. Kouble2.20881151LSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113LSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540LSep 1 · 02:00R. Krejci1.731211113D. Kouble2.0010920
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.