TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092930
Played Sep 8Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119811119711118
Jiri Dedek
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 96 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 33–36 Jiri Dedek Jaroslav Prokupek has won 33 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:40What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dedek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-36 in 69
Dedek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1508 vs Dedek 1537
Dedek
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 60% vs Dedek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 50% vs Dedek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek -2 · Dedek +3
Dedek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dedek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 1.91 / Dedek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dedek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092930
Prokupek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 106 of 252
Down 0–1, comes back17% 21 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 78
Dedek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 154 of 254
Up 2–0, closes it98% 90 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it80% 115 of 144
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProkupek4wins
AwayDedek6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDedek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupek60%3 of 5
AwayDedek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek5Dedek5n = 10split evenly
S2Prokupek4Dedek6n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S3Prokupek5Dedek5n = 10split evenly
S4Prokupek3Dedek5n = 8Dedek took 5 of 8
S5Prokupek1Dedek2n = 3Dedek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricProkupekDedekP − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.138.3−4.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime646 / 1358 vs 480 / 92747.6%51.8%646 / 1358 vs 480 / 927Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekProkupek 1.91/Dedek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Prokupek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek—611681J. Dedek—11311113
WSep 4 · 03:00J. Prokupek—11411113J. Dedek—711971
LSep 3 · 23:00J. Prokupek—11114462J. Dedek—871111113
WAug 27 · 11:30J. Prokupek—111011113J. Dedek—512751
WAug 24 · 18:00J. Prokupek—11114123J. Dedek—5511101
LAug 24 · 02:00J. Prokupek—8320J. Dedek—1111113
WAug 21 · 18:30J. Prokupek—411118113J. Dedek—11581182
LAug 21 · 02:00J. Prokupek—6101361J. Dedek—111211113
LAug 16 · 22:00J. Prokupek—51140J. Dedek—1113113
LJul 13 · 03:00J. Prokupek—11811582J. Dedek—711911113
J. Prokupek10
LSep 8 · 03:30J. Prokupek2.25145661D. Kouble1.57121111113LSep 8 · 02:00P. Fojt2.25911911113J. Prokupek1.5711511752WSep 8 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.25118119143D. Kouble1.57911711122WSep 7 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911111163J. Dedek1.8085140WSep 7 · 22:00V. Postelt1.83791371J. Prokupek1.83111111113LSep 7 · 09:29J. Svoboda1.40111111123J. Prokupek2.750138101WSep 7 · 08:30J. Trefny1.507930J. Prokupek2.501111113LSep 7 · 07:30J. Prokupek3.2510670J. Svoboda1.331211113WSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113LSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113
J. Dedek10
LSep 8 · 19:00J. Dedek1.73561371T. Dousa2.00111111113WSep 8 · 03:00J. Dedek1.401112113P. Fojt2.7551030WSep 8 · 02:30J. Dedek3.251111113V. Postelt1.338380WSep 8 · 01:30D. Kouble1.83112121112J. Dedek1.83811147113LSep 8 · 24:00J. Dedek1.36611111122P. Fojt3.00111331113LSep 7 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911111163J. Dedek1.8085140LSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050WSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781LSep 6 · 18:30J. Trefny1.831111123J. Dedek1.8359100
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