TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13091599
Played Sep 7Finished
Jan Svoboda
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11011131181210––
Jaroslav Prokupek
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJan Svoboda above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 11-0
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 76 set 4, 12-10
76 points played in total.
H2H Jan Svoboda 1–0 Jaroslav Prokupek Jaroslav Prokupek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Svoboda beat Prokupek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.40 / Prokupek 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Svoboda)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13091599
Svoboda1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Prokupek2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 101 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back17% 21 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSvoboda1wins
AwayProkupek0wins
Svoboda leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSvobodaProkupekS − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.023.0+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 15 vs 643 / 135260%47.6%9 / 15 vs 643 / 1352Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.40/Prokupek 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 7 · 07:30J. Svoboda—1211113J. Prokupek—10670
J. Svoboda10
WSep 7 · 08:00J. Svoboda1.361112113J. Plachy3.0051090WSep 7 · 07:30J. Prokupek3.2510670J. Svoboda1.331211113LSep 7 · 06:00J. Svoboda1.251165121J. Trefny3.7581111143WSep 5 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.361111113R. Pavelka3.008550WSep 5 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.2581111113R. Pavelka3.75117471LSep 5 · 07:00J. Svoboda2.2010111081M. Sedlak1.6112412113WSep 5 · 06:00T. Holik1.918750J. Svoboda1.801111113WAug 30 · 08:58P. Budinsky2.208290J. Svoboda1.611111113WAug 30 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.73118611113P. Budinsky2.0071111872LAug 30 · 07:00J. Svoboda1.803121161J. Stolfa1.91111013113
J. Prokupek10
WSep 7 · 08:30J. Trefny1.507930J. Prokupek2.501111113LSep 7 · 07:30J. Prokupek3.2510670J. Svoboda1.331211113WSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113LSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.2581111113J. Trefny1.57117741LSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750WSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461LSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113
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