TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087406
Played Sep 7Finished
Jan Svoboda
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151210119––––
Jiri Plachy
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Svoboda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Svoboda above · Jiri Plachy below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Jan Svoboda at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:52What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1637 vs Plachy 1444
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 192 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 60% vs Plachy 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 60% vs Plachy 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda +1 · Plachy +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Svoboda) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plachy form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.36 / Plachy 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Svoboda)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087406
Svoboda1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Plachy3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 173 of 417
Down 0–1, comes back22% 51 of 234
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaPlachyBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 14 vs 745 / 160657.1%46.4%8 / 14 vs 745 / 1606Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.36/Plachy 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.6%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Svoboda won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Svoboda10
WSep 7 · 07:30J. Prokupek3.2510670J. Svoboda1.331211113LSep 7 · 06:00J. Svoboda1.251165121J. Trefny3.7581111143WSep 5 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.361111113R. Pavelka3.008550WSep 5 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.2581111113R. Pavelka3.75117471LSep 5 · 07:00J. Svoboda2.2010111081M. Sedlak1.6112412113WSep 5 · 06:00T. Holik1.918750J. Svoboda1.801111113WAug 30 · 08:58P. Budinsky2.208290J. Svoboda1.611111113WAug 30 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.73118611113P. Budinsky2.0071111872LAug 30 · 07:00J. Svoboda1.803121161J. Stolfa1.91111013113LAug 30 · 06:00J. Hradecky1.531181011113J. Svoboda2.3851112792
J. Plachy10
WSep 7 · 07:00J. Trefny1.73911951J. Plachy2.0011511113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113WSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750LSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113WSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193LSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780LSep 5 · 21:30J. Plachy1.684780L. Krok2.051111113WSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123LSep 5 · 19:30J. Plachy1.7397111692L. Krok2.001111814113
Upcoming Matches
J. Svoboda
Nothing scheduled
J. Plachy
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