TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13096883
Played Sep 8Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151210113––––
Pavel Fojt
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Pavel Fojt below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 52 set 3, 11-3
52 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 40–18 Pavel Fojt Pavel Fojt has won 18 of their 58 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Fojt beat Dedek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Dedek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.40 / Fojt 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Dedek)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13096883
Dedek1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 153 of 251
Up 2–0, closes it98% 89 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it80% 114 of 143
Fojt2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 68 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back21% 20 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek7wins
AwayFojt3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDedek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedek83.3%5 of 6
AwayFojt50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek6Fojt4n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S2Dedek7Fojt3n = 10Dedek took 7 of 10
S3Dedek5Fojt5n = 10split evenly
S4Dedek5Fojt1n = 6Dedek took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekFojtD − FBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.231.3+5.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekFojtBasisWin rate · lifetime479 / 926 vs 353 / 72251.7%48.9%479 / 926 vs 353 / 722Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDedek 1.40/Fojt 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 24:00J. Dedek—611111122P. Fojt—111331113
WAug 20 · 22:00J. Dedek—1111113P. Fojt—5690
LAug 16 · 23:30J. Dedek—9660P. Fojt—1111113
WAug 13 · 19:30J. Dedek—1211113P. Fojt—10960
WAug 5 · 20:58J. Dedek—111211113P. Fojt—4101331
WAug 5 · 20:30J. Dedek—1011811113P. Fojt—12711392
LJul 30 · 18:30J. Dedek—126381P. Fojt—101111113
WJul 27 · 20:30J. Dedek—111111113P. Fojt—761361
WJul 26 · 01:00J. Dedek—1111113P. Fojt—7440
WJul 23 · 20:59J. Dedek—81111113P. Fojt—117791
J. Dedek10
WSep 8 · 02:30J. Dedek3.251111113V. Postelt1.338380WSep 8 · 01:30D. Kouble1.83112121112J. Dedek1.83811147113LSep 8 · 24:00J. Dedek1.36611111122P. Fojt3.00111331113LSep 7 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911111163J. Dedek1.8085140LSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050WSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781LSep 6 · 18:30J. Trefny1.831111123J. Dedek1.8359100WSep 6 · 17:29J. Trefny1.6714711842J. Dedek2.101211711113WSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661
P. Fojt10
WSep 8 · 02:00P. Fojt2.25911911113J. Prokupek1.5711511752LSep 8 · 01:00P. Fojt2.5081040V. Postelt1.501112113WSep 8 · 24:00J. Dedek1.36611111122P. Fojt3.00111331113LSep 7 · 22:30D. Kouble1.80811112113P. Fojt1.9111861162LSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113WSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461WSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780WSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143
Upcoming Matches
J. Dedek
P. Fojt
Nothing scheduled
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