TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087013
Played Sep 7Finished
Daniel Kouble
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811118116211116
Pavel Fojt
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:58 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timePavel Fojt to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Kouble above · Pavel Fojt below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 85 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Pavel Fojt at 65.2%
85 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Kouble 5–5 Pavel Fojt Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:58What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kouble
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kouble 1538 vs Fojt 1507
Kouble
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kouble 0% vs Fojt 60%
Fojt
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kouble 30% vs Fojt 70%
Fojt
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kouble -5 · Fojt -1
Kouble
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kouble) · live re-read · sealed at 35% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kouble form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKouble 1.80 / Fojt 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kouble)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087013
Kouble1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite48% won 12 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it53% 8 of 15
Fojt1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 68 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back21% 20 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKouble5wins
AwayFojt5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKouble100%4 of 4
AwayFojt83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kouble4Fojt6n = 10Fojt took 6 of 10
S2Kouble5Fojt5n = 10split evenly
S3Kouble5Fojt5n = 10split evenly
S4Kouble2Fojt5n = 7Fojt took 5 of 7
S5Kouble3Fojt1n = 4Kouble took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoubleFojtK − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.338.3−2.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoubleFojtBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 217 vs 352 / 72247.5%48.8%103 / 217 vs 352 / 722Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoubleKouble 1.80/Fojt 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kouble · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kouble won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 22:30D. Kouble—811112113P. Fojt—11861162
LFeb 11 · 02:00D. Kouble—651181P. Fojt—11118113
WNov 25 · 02:00D. Kouble—1111113P. Fojt—9660
WNov 4 · 24:30D. Kouble—11911113P. Fojt—811881
LOct 22 · 22:00D. Kouble—81070P. Fojt—1112113
WMay 3 · 19:00D. Kouble—111174113P. Fojt—99111132
LApr 24 · 21:00D. Kouble—68111142P. Fojt—111176113
LApr 24 · 18:00D. Kouble—813471P. Fojt—111111113
LApr 12 · 23:00D. Kouble—7880P. Fojt—1111113
WMar 31 · 20:00D. Kouble—121198113P. Fojt—105111172
D. Kouble10
WSep 7 · 23:30V. Postelt2.3894100D. Kouble1.531111123LSep 5 · 02:30S. Kadavy1.801111113D. Kouble1.919180LSep 5 · 01:00R. Krejci1.6111114113D. Kouble2.20881151LSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113LSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540LSep 1 · 02:00R. Krejci1.731211113D. Kouble2.0010920WSep 1 · 24:30D. Kouble1.5391112113V. Postelt2.381161081LAug 31 · 23:00D. Kouble2.0011116772D. Tuma1.73981111113WAug 31 · 22:00T. Janata1.671191071D. Kouble2.1091112113
P. Fojt10
LSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113WSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461WSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780WSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143LSep 3 · 02:30P. Fojt1.80111110472D. Parhomenko1.91891211113WSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113WSep 3 · 24:00P. Fojt1.61811711113J. Jnr2.2011811932WSep 2 · 23:00K. Darin2.636690P. Fojt1.441111113
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