TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13048173
Played Sep 1Finished
Richard Krejci
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210119112––––
Daniel Kouble
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRichard Krejci to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Krejci above · Daniel Kouble below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 55 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Richard Krejci at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Richard Krejci 3–3 Daniel Kouble Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:16What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Krejci
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krejci 1621 vs Kouble 1592
Krejci
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krejci 80% vs Kouble 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krejci 50% vs Kouble 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krejci -1 · Kouble +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krejci)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kouble form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrejci 1.73 / Kouble 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krejci)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13048173
Krejci1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 49 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it88% 36 of 41
Kouble2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 21 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back28% 7 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKrejci3wins
AwayKouble3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrejcin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKouble75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krejci2Kouble4n = 6Kouble took 4 of 6
S2Krejci3Kouble3n = 6split evenly
S3Krejci2Kouble4n = 6Kouble took 4 of 6
S4Krejci2Kouble1n = 3Krejci took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricKrejciKoubleKrejci − KoubleBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match30.534.7−4.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrejciKoubleBasisWin rate · lifetime182 / 342 vs 102 / 21053.2%48.6%182 / 342 vs 102 / 210Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrejciKrejci 1.73/Kouble 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krejci · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krejci won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WMay 13 · 03:29R. Krejci—1111113D. Kouble—9490
WMay 13 · 24:00R. Krejci—911411113D. Kouble—11911692
LFeb 18 · 01:00R. Krejci—9470D. Kouble—1111113
LOct 28 · 01:00R. Krejci—471171D. Kouble—11117113
LAug 28 · 23:30R. Krejci—9550D. Kouble—1111113
WJan 19 · 24:00R. Krejci—11122113D. Kouble—8101151
R. Krejci10
WSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480LSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670WSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113WSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682LSep 6 · 19:00R. Krejci2.007680M. Volf1.731111113LSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861LSep 5 · 03:28S. Kadavy1.5711811113R. Krejci2.25611491
D. Kouble10
LSep 5 · 02:30S. Kadavy1.801111113D. Kouble1.919180LSep 5 · 01:00R. Krejci1.6111114113D. Kouble2.20881151LSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113LSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540WSep 1 · 24:30D. Kouble1.5391112113V. Postelt2.381161081LAug 31 · 23:00D. Kouble2.0011116772D. Tuma1.73981111113WAug 31 · 22:00T. Janata1.671191071D. Kouble2.1091112113WJul 5 · 03:00D. Kouble2.10112812133O. Kysely1.677111110112WJul 5 · 01:30D. Kouble2.00111119113O. Kysely1.7385111142
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