TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083185
Played Sep 6Finished
Richard Krejci
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116117––––
Marek Chlebecek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRichard Krejci to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Krejci above · Marek Chlebecek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Richard Krejci at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Richard Krejci 2–0 Marek Chlebecek Marek Chlebecek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:11What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Chlebecek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krejci 1619 vs Chlebecek 1573
Krejci
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krejci 60% vs Chlebecek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krejci 60% vs Chlebecek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krejci +3 · Chlebecek -1
Krejci
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chlebecek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrejci 1.91 / Chlebecek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chlebecek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083185
Krejci1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 18 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Chlebecek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 34 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it71% 27 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKrejci2wins
AwayChlebecek0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderKrejci leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKrejciChlebecekK − CBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match42.034.5+7.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrejciChlebecekBasisWin rate · lifetime182 / 344 vs 109 / 22952.9%47.6%182 / 344 vs 109 / 229Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChlebecekKrejci 1.91/Chlebecek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Chlebecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krejci won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 20 · 03:00R. Krejci—11116113M. Chlebecek—661161
WJul 19 · 22:00R. Krejci—611116113M. Chlebecek—11861142
R. Krejci10
WSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480LSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113WSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113WSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682LSep 6 · 19:00R. Krejci2.007680M. Volf1.731111113LSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861LSep 5 · 03:28S. Kadavy1.5711811113R. Krejci2.25611491WSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350
M. Chlebecek10
WSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101WSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681WSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113WSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890LSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272WSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123LSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113WSep 2 · 03:30M. Regner1.91911681M. Chlebecek1.8011511113LSep 2 · 02:00M. Chlebecek1.838680J. Hradecky1.831111113
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