TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13053038
Played Sep 2Finished
Marek Chlebecek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611811––––
Jakub Hradecky
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Hradecky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Chlebecek above · Jakub Hradecky below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Jakub Hradecky at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Marek Chlebecek 2–2 Jakub Hradecky Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:56What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hradecky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chlebecek 1570 vs Hradecky 1542
Chlebecek
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chlebecek 60% vs Hradecky 0%
Chlebecek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chlebecek 50% vs Hradecky 0%
Chlebecek
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chlebecek +3 · Hradecky -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chlebecek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hradecky form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChlebecek 1.83 / Hradecky 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chlebecek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13053038
Chlebecek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Hradecky1.83
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeChlebecek2wins
AwayHradecky2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChlebecekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHradecky66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chlebecek1Hradecky3n = 4Hradecky took 3 of 4
S2Chlebecek1Hradecky3n = 4Hradecky took 3 of 4
S3Chlebecek4Hradecky0n = 4Chlebecek took 4 of 4
S4Chlebecek1Hradecky2n = 3Hradecky took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricChlebecekHradeckyC − HBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match40.539.8+0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChlebecekHradeckyBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 231 vs 253 / 49147.6%51.5%110 / 231 vs 253 / 491Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChlebecekChlebecek 1.83/Hradecky 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Chlebecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hradecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJun 16 · 23:30M. Chlebecek—871171J. Hradecky—11119113
WJun 11 · 01:00M. Chlebecek—1111133J. Hradecky—96110
LMay 18 · 22:30M. Chlebecek—7121191J. Hradecky—11147113
WJan 7 · 23:30M. Chlebecek—10121111113J. Hradecky—12145982
M. Chlebecek10
WSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101WSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681WSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113WSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890LSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670LSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272WSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123LSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113WSep 2 · 03:30M. Regner1.91911681M. Chlebecek1.8011511113
J. Hradecky10
WSep 3 · 17:00J. Stolfa1.733760J. Hradecky2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153LSep 3 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.918141281J. Stolfa1.80111214113LSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252LSep 2 · 24:30J. Hradecky1.67114961M. Sobisek2.1051111113LSep 1 · 23:00J. Hradecky2.75119671J. Tazler1.4071111113LSep 1 · 22:00M. Regner1.441311163J. Hradecky2.63118140LAug 31 · 20:59S. Kadavy1.6161111113J. Hradecky2.20119981LAug 31 · 20:00J. Hradecky2.101011118112S. Kadavy1.67122811133LAug 31 · 19:30J. Pozarsky2.5091211113J. Hradecky1.501110931
Upcoming Matches
M. Chlebecek
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J. Hradecky
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