TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13048152
Played Aug 31Finished
Jiri Pozarsky
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111210119113––
Jakub Hradecky
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:43 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Hradecky to win
66.0%
66.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Pozarsky above · Jakub Hradecky below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 76 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Jakub Hradecky at 66.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Pozarsky 6–15 Jakub Hradecky Jiri Pozarsky has won 6 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:43What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hradecky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-15 in 21
Hradecky
Wrong
gap of 9 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pozarsky 1610 vs Hradecky 1603
Pozarsky
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pozarsky 20% vs Hradecky 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pozarsky 50% vs Hradecky 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pozarsky -1 · Hradecky -4
Hradecky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Hradecky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hradecky form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPozarsky 2.50 / Hradecky 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Hradecky)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13048152
Pozarsky2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 24 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Hradecky1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 84 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it98% 41 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it80% 57 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePozarsky1wins
AwayHradecky9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHradecky leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePozarsky16.7%1 of 6
AwayHradecky100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pozarsky6Hradecky4n = 10Pozarsky took 6 of 10
S2Pozarsky0Hradecky10n = 10Hradecky took 10 of 10
S3Pozarsky2Hradecky8n = 10Hradecky took 8 of 10
S4Pozarsky4Hradecky2n = 6Pozarsky took 4 of 6
S5Pozarsky0Hradecky4n = 4Hradecky took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPozarskyHradeckyP − HBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.340.8−7.5per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPozarskyHradeckyBasisWin rate · lifetime161 / 343 vs 253 / 48546.9%52.2%161 / 343 vs 253 / 485Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HradeckyPozarsky 2.50/Hradecky 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66%
Hradecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pozarsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 08:30J. Pozarsky—5530J. Hradecky—1111113
LAug 12 · 18:30J. Pozarsky—111261172J. Hradecky—714117113
LAug 2 · 08:00J. Pozarsky—118571J. Hradecky—51111113
LJun 1 · 15:00J. Pozarsky—111021152J. Hradecky—612113113
LMay 22 · 14:00J. Pozarsky—1770J. Hradecky—1111113
LApr 6 · 14:30J. Pozarsky—1810111072J. Hradecky—1612812113
WJan 17 · 15:00J. Pozarsky—11413123J. Hradecky—81111101
LJan 16 · 14:00J. Pozarsky—8680J. Hradecky—1111113
LJan 16 · 11:30J. Pozarsky—7990J. Hradecky—1111113
LNov 24 · 11:00J. Pozarsky—11691182J. Hradecky—611117113
J. Pozarsky10
WAug 31 · 21:30J. Pozarsky1.651112113J. Stolfa2.1051060WAug 31 · 20:30J. Stolfa2.00881451J. Pozarsky1.73111112113LAug 31 · 18:30S. Kadavy1.73512119113J. Pozarsky2.00111061162WAug 29 · 16:58P. Budinsky1.40115391J. Pozarsky2.7571111113LAug 29 · 16:00J. Pozarsky1.7311891582D. Tuma2.005111113113LAug 29 · 15:30T. Vinter1.911111103J. Pozarsky1.807760LAug 29 · 14:00J. Pozarsky1.57119861P. Budinsky2.2581111113WAug 26 · 17:30J. Stolfa2.0099120J. Pozarsky1.731111143WAug 26 · 16:00J. Pozarsky1.731111113M. Vizek2.005980LAug 26 · 15:30J. Stolfa2.00912118113J. Pozarsky1.73111061132
J. Hradecky10
WSep 3 · 17:00J. Stolfa1.733760J. Hradecky2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153LSep 3 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.918141281J. Stolfa1.80111214113LSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 2 · 02:00M. Chlebecek1.838680J. Hradecky1.831111113LSep 2 · 24:30J. Hradecky1.67114961M. Sobisek2.1051111113LSep 1 · 23:00J. Hradecky2.75119671J. Tazler1.4071111113LSep 1 · 22:00M. Regner1.441311163J. Hradecky2.63118140LAug 31 · 20:59S. Kadavy1.6161111113J. Hradecky2.20119981LAug 31 · 20:00J. Hradecky2.101011118112S. Kadavy1.67122811133
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