Jiri Pozarsky vs Daniel Tuma 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13036912

Played Aug 29Finished

Jiri Pozarsky

Home

1.73

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1158119111513811

Daniel Tuma

Away

2.00

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:34 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%

Graded at full time

Jiri Pozarsky to win

54.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingJiri Pozarsky above · Daniel Tuma below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 15-13

Set 5 · 8-11

Point 102 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jiri Pozarsky at 54.9%

102 points played in total.

H2H Jiri Pozarsky 12–12 Daniel Tuma Dead even across their 24 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 15:34

What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Pozarsky

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

12-12 in 24

—

Too close

gap of 0, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Pozarsky 1612 vs Tuma 1623

Tuma

Correct

both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Pozarsky 40% vs Tuma 60%

Tuma

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Pozarsky 50% vs Tuma 70%

Tuma

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Pozarsky -2 · Tuma +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pozarsky) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Pozarsky form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPozarsky 1.73 / Tuma 2.00

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Pozarsky)+0.4pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13036912

Pozarsky1.73

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite54% won 31 of 57

Up 2–0, closes it82% 18 of 22

Up 1–0, closes it72% 26 of 36

Tuma2.00

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog44% won 164 of 369

Down 0–1, comes back26% 51 of 197

Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 106

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomePozarsky5wins

AwayTuma5wins

2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePozarsky83.3%5 of 6

AwayTuma100%4 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Pozarsky6Tuma4n = 10Pozarsky took 6 of 10

S2Pozarsky5Tuma5n = 10split evenly

S3Pozarsky5Tuma5n = 10split evenly

S4Pozarsky1Tuma2n = 3Tuma took 2 of 3

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home440%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricPozarskyTumaP − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.632.2+1.4per matchSweeps43+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPozarskyTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 340 vs 767 / 147247.1%52.1%160 / 340 vs 767 / 1472Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Pozarsky

Pozarsky 1.73/Tuma 2.00

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54.1%

Pozarsky · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Tuma won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 17 · 06:00J. Pozarsky—1111113D. Tuma—6670

WAug 12 · 21:30J. Pozarsky—1114113D. Tuma—71250

WAug 12 · 20:30J. Pozarsky—1115117113D. Tuma—61741152

LJul 8 · 14:00J. Pozarsky—4970D. Tuma—1111113

LJul 4 · 10:00J. Pozarsky—7139101D. Tuma—111111123

WJun 10 · 06:00J. Pozarsky—1111113D. Tuma—7480

LApr 30 · 12:30J. Pozarsky—3870D. Tuma—1111113

LApr 22 · 19:30J. Pozarsky—11871372D. Tuma—8111111113

WApr 6 · 16:30J. Pozarsky—1111113D. Tuma—7770

LMar 27 · 11:00J. Pozarsky—7880D. Tuma—1111113

J. Pozarsky10

WAug 31 · 21:30J. Pozarsky1.651112113J. Stolfa2.1051060 WAug 31 · 20:30J. Stolfa2.00881451J. Pozarsky1.73111112113 WAug 31 · 19:30J. Pozarsky2.5091211113J. Hradecky1.501110931 LAug 31 · 18:30S. Kadavy1.73512119113J. Pozarsky2.00111061162 WAug 29 · 16:58P. Budinsky1.40115391J. Pozarsky2.7571111113 LAug 29 · 15:30T. Vinter1.911111103J. Pozarsky1.807760 LAug 29 · 14:00J. Pozarsky1.57119861P. Budinsky2.2581111113 WAug 26 · 17:30J. Stolfa2.0099120J. Pozarsky1.731111143 WAug 26 · 16:00J. Pozarsky1.731111113M. Vizek2.005980 LAug 26 · 15:30J. Stolfa2.00912118113J. Pozarsky1.73111061132

D. Tuma10

WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960 WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133 WSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113 WSep 3 · 18:30D. Tuma1.40111212113V. Postelt2.757101481 WSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271 WSep 3 · 16:00D. Tuma1.911111113J. Stolfa1.809770 LSep 3 · 15:30M. Sobisek2.00118119133D. Tuma1.73411711112 WSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252 WSep 1 · 21:28D. Tuma1.91128511113K. Kapras1.80101111492 WSep 1 · 20:30D. Tuma2.20117117113K. Kapras1.6141161152

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