TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13046623
Played Aug 31Finished
Simon Kadavy
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5111210116911116
Jiri Pozarsky
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:57 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%
Graded at full timeSimon Kadavy to win
66.0%
66.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSimon Kadavy above · Jiri Pozarsky below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 92 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Simon Kadavy at 66.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Simon Kadavy 9–4 Jiri Pozarsky Jiri Pozarsky has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:57What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kadavy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Kadavy
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kadavy 1661 vs Pozarsky 1619
Kadavy
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kadavy 100% vs Pozarsky 40%
Kadavy
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kadavy 80% vs Pozarsky 50%
Kadavy
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kadavy +5 · Pozarsky +1
Kadavy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kadavy) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kadavy form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKadavy 1.73 / Pozarsky 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kadavy)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13046623
Kadavy1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 37 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it75% 27 of 36
Pozarsky2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 24 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKadavy7wins
AwayPozarsky3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKadavy leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKadavy66.7%4 of 6
AwayPozarsky25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kadavy6Pozarsky4n = 10Kadavy took 6 of 10
S2Kadavy5Pozarsky5n = 10split evenly
S3Kadavy4Pozarsky6n = 10Pozarsky took 6 of 10
S4Kadavy6Pozarsky2n = 8Kadavy took 6 of 8
S5Kadavy4Pozarsky2n = 6Kadavy took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKadavyPozarskyK − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.242.2−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKadavyPozarskyBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 522 vs 161 / 34249%47.1%256 / 522 vs 161 / 342Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KadavyKadavy 1.73/Pozarsky 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Kadavy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kadavy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 12 · 10:00S. Kadavy—11114113J. Pozarsky—991171
LFeb 26 · 14:30S. Kadavy—9360J. Pozarsky—1111113
LFeb 26 · 11:30S. Kadavy—11911152J. Pozarsky—911119113
WNov 3 · 20:00S. Kadavy—1111133J. Pozarsky—99110
WJul 4 · 14:15S. Kadavy—11712113J. Pozarsky—6111041
LMay 5 · 14:30S. Kadavy—11911682J. Pozarsky—811911113
WApr 17 · 21:00S. Kadavy—411611123J. Pozarsky—114119102
WApr 17 · 19:30S. Kadavy—612117113J. Pozarsky—111071142
WMar 21 · 08:30S. Kadavy—145711113J. Pozarsky—121111982
WFeb 20 · 19:30S. Kadavy—514614113J. Pozarsky—1112111272
S. Kadavy10
WSep 5 · 03:28S. Kadavy1.5711811113R. Krejci2.25611491WSep 5 · 02:30S. Kadavy1.801111113D. Kouble1.919180WSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:00S. Kadavy1.4471111113R. Krejci2.63118991WSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173WSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113LSep 4 · 16:30M. Pikous1.251111113S. Kadavy3.759630WSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192LSep 4 · 14:30D. Hofman1.50111168113S. Kadavy2.5097111182LSep 1 · 20:58J. Stolfa1.73111616123S. Kadavy2.0081814101
J. Pozarsky10
WAug 31 · 21:30J. Pozarsky1.651112113J. Stolfa2.1051060WAug 31 · 20:30J. Stolfa2.00881451J. Pozarsky1.73111112113WAug 31 · 19:30J. Pozarsky2.5091211113J. Hradecky1.501110931WAug 29 · 16:58P. Budinsky1.40115391J. Pozarsky2.7571111113LAug 29 · 16:00J. Pozarsky1.7311891582D. Tuma2.005111113113LAug 29 · 15:30T. Vinter1.911111103J. Pozarsky1.807760LAug 29 · 14:00J. Pozarsky1.57119861P. Budinsky2.2581111113WAug 26 · 17:30J. Stolfa2.0099120J. Pozarsky1.731111143WAug 26 · 16:00J. Pozarsky1.731111113M. Vizek2.005980LAug 26 · 15:30J. Stolfa2.00912118113J. Pozarsky1.73111061132
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