TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13013636
Played Aug 26Finished
Jakub Stolfa
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111210116811113
Jiri Pozarsky
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Pozarsky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Jiri Pozarsky below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 92 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Jiri Pozarsky at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Stolfa 3–4 Jiri Pozarsky Jakub Stolfa has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:27What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pozarsky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stolfa 1654 vs Pozarsky 1642
Stolfa
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolfa 80% vs Pozarsky 60%
Stolfa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolfa 80% vs Pozarsky 60%
Stolfa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolfa +1 · Pozarsky +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pozarsky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stolfa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 2.00 / Pozarsky 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pozarsky)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13013636
Stolfa2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog56% won 49 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back37% 18 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Pozarsky1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 29 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it80% 16 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it73% 24 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeStolfa3wins
AwayPozarsky4wins
4 of 7 to a deciderPozarsky leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStolfa66.7%2 of 3
AwayPozarsky75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stolfa3Pozarsky4n = 7Pozarsky took 4 of 7
S2Stolfa3Pozarsky4n = 7Pozarsky took 4 of 7
S3Stolfa1Pozarsky6n = 7Pozarsky took 6 of 7
S4Stolfa2Pozarsky3n = 5Pozarsky took 3 of 5
S5Stolfa3Pozarsky1n = 4Stolfa took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricStolfaPozarskyS − PBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match36.441.4−5.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaPozarskyBasisWin rate · lifetime187 / 354 vs 158 / 33552.8%47.2%187 / 354 vs 158 / 335Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PozarskyStolfa 2.00/Pozarsky 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Pozarsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stolfa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 14 · 10:30J. Stolfa—311115113J. Pozarsky—11851192
WAug 8 · 17:00J. Stolfa—115911113J. Pozarsky—41111992
LAug 8 · 15:00J. Stolfa—911871J. Pozarsky—11811113
LJul 1 · 06:00J. Stolfa—11115672J. Pozarsky—561111113
LSep 27 · 13:00J. Stolfa—67120J. Pozarsky—1111143
WSep 27 · 11:00J. Stolfa—12881283J. Pozarsky—1011111062
LAug 5 · 06:00J. Stolfa—6850J. Pozarsky—1111113
J. Stolfa10
LSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113WSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113LSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113WSep 4 · 16:00J. Stolfa2.5081111113D. Hofman1.50119881LSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192LSep 4 · 14:00J. Stolfa3.4061111782M. Pikous1.30117911113WSep 4 · 08:58D. Hofman1.4012115992J. Stolfa2.751091111113LSep 4 · 08:00J. Stolfa2.25131091192D. Hofman1.571112117113
J. Pozarsky10
WAug 31 · 21:30J. Pozarsky1.651112113J. Stolfa2.1051060WAug 31 · 20:30J. Stolfa2.00881451J. Pozarsky1.73111112113WAug 31 · 19:30J. Pozarsky2.5091211113J. Hradecky1.501110931LAug 31 · 18:30S. Kadavy1.73512119113J. Pozarsky2.00111061162WAug 29 · 16:58P. Budinsky1.40115391J. Pozarsky2.7571111113LAug 29 · 16:00J. Pozarsky1.7311891582D. Tuma2.005111113113LAug 29 · 15:30T. Vinter1.911111103J. Pozarsky1.807760LAug 29 · 14:00J. Pozarsky1.57119861P. Budinsky2.2581111113WAug 26 · 17:30J. Stolfa2.0099120J. Pozarsky1.731111143WAug 26 · 16:00J. Pozarsky1.731111113M. Vizek2.005980
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