Jiri Pozarsky vs Petr Budinsky 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13034593

Played Aug 29Finished

Jiri Pozarsky

Home

1.57

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

118911811611––

Petr Budinsky

Away

2.25

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Petr Budinsky to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

no pick shipped

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingJiri Pozarsky above · Petr Budinsky below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 4-7

Point 69 set 4, 4-7 — our read held Petr Budinsky at 54.0%

69 points drawn · the score is 6 ahead; the rest land in a moment.

H2H Jiri Pozarsky 3–1 Petr Budinsky Petr Budinsky has won 1 of their 4 meetings.

Last 4 · 3–1Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 08:40

What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Pozarsky

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

3-1 in 4

Pozarsky

Wrong

gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Pozarsky 1648 vs Budinsky 1525

Pozarsky

Wrong

both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Pozarsky 80% vs Budinsky 20%

Pozarsky

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Pozarsky 50% vs Budinsky 50%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Pozarsky +2 · Budinsky -4

Budinsky

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Pozarsky) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Budinsky form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPozarsky 1.57 / Budinsky 2.25

Signal prob.62% / 38%

Edge (Pozarsky)+2.8pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13034593

Pozarsky1.57

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite54% won 31 of 57

Up 2–0, closes it82% 18 of 22

Up 1–0, closes it72% 26 of 36

Budinsky2.25

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog42% won 15 of 36

Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 16

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 4 meetings

HomePozarsky3wins

AwayBudinsky1wins

3 of 4 to a deciderPozarsky leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePozarsky66.7%2 of 3

AwayBudinskyn = 1, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Pozarsky3Budinsky1n = 4Pozarsky took 3 of 4

S2Pozarsky1Budinsky3n = 4Budinsky took 3 of 4

S3Pozarsky2Budinsky2n = 4split evenly

S4Pozarsky3Budinsky1n = 4Pozarsky took 3 of 4

S5Pozarsky2Budinsky1n = 3Pozarsky took 2 of 3

How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home125%

3–2Decider, home250%

2–3Decider, away125%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 4 meetings

MetricPozarskyBudinskyP − BBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match44.036.8+7.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPozarskyBudinskyBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 338 vs 72 / 14147.3%51.1%160 / 338 vs 72 / 141Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.835.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Pozarsky

Pozarsky 1.57/Budinsky 2.25

Miss

What we said

61.7%

Pozarsky · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Budinsky won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record4

WAug 2 · 06:30J. Pozarsky—1111125113P. Budinsky—133101182

LJan 18 · 09:30J. Pozarsky—118101122P. Budinsky—111125113

WJan 17 · 18:30J. Pozarsky—1112611113P. Budinsky—31411532

WJan 17 · 17:30J. Pozarsky—1141173P. Budinsky—611541

J. Pozarsky10

WAug 31 · 21:30J. Pozarsky1.651112113J. Stolfa2.1051060 WAug 31 · 20:30J. Stolfa2.00881451J. Pozarsky1.73111112113 WAug 31 · 19:30J. Pozarsky2.5091211113J. Hradecky1.501110931 LAug 31 · 18:30S. Kadavy1.73512119113J. Pozarsky2.00111061162 WAug 29 · 16:58P. Budinsky1.40115391J. Pozarsky2.7571111113 LAug 29 · 16:00J. Pozarsky1.7311891582D. Tuma2.005111113113 LAug 29 · 15:30T. Vinter1.911111103J. Pozarsky1.807760 WAug 26 · 17:30J. Stolfa2.0099120J. Pozarsky1.731111143 WAug 26 · 16:00J. Pozarsky1.731111113M. Vizek2.005980 LAug 26 · 15:30J. Stolfa2.00912118113J. Pozarsky1.73111061132

P. Budinsky10

LAug 30 · 16:58D. Tuma1.5311116113P. Budinsky2.38801131 LAug 30 · 16:30M. Nohejl1.731111113P. Budinsky2.008570 WAug 30 · 15:30P. Budinsky2.5011118113D. Tuma1.50691171 LAug 30 · 14:30T. Janata1.3311118113P. Budinsky3.25891151 LAug 30 · 08:58P. Budinsky2.208290J. Svoboda1.611111113 LAug 30 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.73118611113P. Budinsky2.0071111872 WAug 30 · 07:30P. Budinsky1.83111178113J. Hradecky1.8347111192 LAug 30 · 06:30J. Stolfa1.7381111113P. Budinsky2.00114991 LAug 29 · 16:58P. Budinsky1.40115391J. Pozarsky2.7571111113 LAug 29 · 16:30P. Budinsky1.73116671T. Vinter2.0091111113

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