TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13041664
Played Aug 30Finished
Petr Budinsky
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114117711811119
Jakub Hradecky
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:50 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Hradecky to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Budinsky above · Jakub Hradecky below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 90 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Hradecky at 61.2%
90 points played in total.
H2H Petr Budinsky 4–0 Jakub Hradecky Jakub Hradecky has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:50What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hradecky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Budinsky
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Budinsky 1486 vs Hradecky 1574
Hradecky
Wrong
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Budinsky 20% vs Hradecky 60%
Hradecky
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Budinsky 20% vs Hradecky 70%
Hradecky
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Budinsky -4 · Hradecky +1
Budinsky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hradecky) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budinsky form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudinsky 1.83 / Hradecky 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hradecky)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13041664
Budinsky1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Hradecky1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBudinsky4wins
AwayHradecky0wins
2 of 4 to a deciderBudinsky leads 4–0, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBudinsky100%4 of 4
AwayHradeckyn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Budinsky4Hradecky0n = 4Budinsky took 4 of 4
S2Budinsky2Hradecky2n = 4split evenly
S3Budinsky3Hradecky1n = 4Budinsky took 3 of 4
S4Budinsky1Hradecky2n = 3Hradecky took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricBudinskyHradeckyB − HBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match42.232.2+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudinskyHradeckyBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 153 vs 253 / 48849%51.8%75 / 153 vs 253 / 488Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HradeckyBudinsky 1.83/Hradecky 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hradecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Budinsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 30 · 07:30P. Budinsky—111178113J. Hradecky—47111192
WAug 2 · 09:29P. Budinsky—1311133J. Hradecky—115110
WAug 2 · 07:30P. Budinsky—118116113J. Hradecky—81141132
WJan 17 · 16:30P. Budinsky—11511103J. Hradecky—511251
P. Budinsky10
LAug 30 · 16:58D. Tuma1.5311116113P. Budinsky2.38801131LAug 30 · 16:30M. Nohejl1.731111113P. Budinsky2.008570WAug 30 · 15:30P. Budinsky2.5011118113D. Tuma1.50691171LAug 30 · 14:30T. Janata1.3311118113P. Budinsky3.25891151LAug 30 · 08:58P. Budinsky2.208290J. Svoboda1.611111113LAug 30 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.73118611113P. Budinsky2.0071111872LAug 30 · 06:30J. Stolfa1.7381111113P. Budinsky2.00114991LAug 29 · 16:58P. Budinsky1.40115391J. Pozarsky2.7571111113LAug 29 · 16:30P. Budinsky1.73116671T. Vinter2.0091111113LAug 29 · 15:00P. Budinsky2.38311451D. Tuma1.5311511113
J. Hradecky10
WSep 3 · 17:00J. Stolfa1.733760J. Hradecky2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153LSep 3 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.918141281J. Stolfa1.80111214113LSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 2 · 02:00M. Chlebecek1.838680J. Hradecky1.831111113LSep 2 · 24:30J. Hradecky1.67114961M. Sobisek2.1051111113LSep 1 · 23:00J. Hradecky2.75119671J. Tazler1.4071111113LSep 1 · 22:00M. Regner1.441311163J. Hradecky2.63118140LAug 31 · 20:59S. Kadavy1.6161111113J. Hradecky2.20119981LAug 31 · 20:00J. Hradecky2.101011118112S. Kadavy1.67122811133
Upcoming Matches
P. Budinsky
Nothing scheduled
J. Hradecky
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