TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13052660
Played Sep 1Finished
Jakub Hradecky
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117911611711––
Jakub Tazler
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:47 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeJakub Tazler to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Hradecky above · Jakub Tazler below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 73 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jakub Tazler at 66.1%
73 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hradecky 5–17 Jakub Tazler Jakub Hradecky has won 5 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:47What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Tazler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-17 in 22
Tazler
Correct
gap of 12 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hradecky 1562 vs Tazler 1660
Tazler
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hradecky 0% vs Tazler 80%
Tazler
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hradecky 10% vs Tazler 70%
Tazler
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hradecky -5 · Tazler +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Tazler) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hradecky form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHradecky 2.75 / Tazler 1.40
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Tazler)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13052660
Hradecky2.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 26 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back18% 9 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Tazler1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 91 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it92% 45 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it77% 72 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHradecky1wins
AwayTazler9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTazler leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHradeckyn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayTazler88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hradecky1Tazler9n = 10Tazler took 9 of 10
S2Hradecky5Tazler5n = 10split evenly
S3Hradecky2Tazler8n = 10Tazler took 8 of 10
S4Hradecky2Tazler5n = 7Tazler took 5 of 7
S5Hradecky1Tazler2n = 3Tazler took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHradeckyTazlerH − TBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match32.539.8−7.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHradeckyTazlerBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 489 vs 382 / 70251.7%54.4%253 / 489 vs 382 / 702Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TazlerHradecky 2.75/Tazler 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.7%
Tazler · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tazler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 22 · 22:00J. Hradecky—4550J. Tazler—1111113
LJun 17 · 03:30J. Hradecky—10860J. Tazler—1211113
LJun 17 · 02:30J. Hradecky—7870J. Tazler—1111113
LJun 12 · 13:30J. Hradecky—6611131J. Tazler—11115153
LJun 12 · 10:00J. Hradecky—111112352J. Tazler—471411113
LJun 10 · 22:00J. Hradecky—111181172J. Tazler—134117113
LMar 27 · 07:00J. Hradecky—991171J. Tazler—11119113
LMar 23 · 20:30J. Hradecky—711661J. Tazler—11411113
LMar 6 · 20:00J. Hradecky—711561J. Tazler—11911113
WMar 6 · 15:00J. Hradecky—411711113J. Tazler—11811842
J. Hradecky10
WSep 3 · 17:00J. Stolfa1.733760J. Hradecky2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153LSep 3 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.918141281J. Stolfa1.80111214113LSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 2 · 02:00M. Chlebecek1.838680J. Hradecky1.831111113LSep 2 · 24:30J. Hradecky1.67114961M. Sobisek2.1051111113LSep 1 · 22:00M. Regner1.441311163J. Hradecky2.63118140LAug 31 · 20:59S. Kadavy1.6161111113J. Hradecky2.20119981LAug 31 · 20:00J. Hradecky2.101011118112S. Kadavy1.67122811133LAug 31 · 19:30J. Pozarsky2.5091211113J. Hradecky1.501110931
J. Tazler10
LSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102WSep 7 · 02:00K. Schopf2.385430J. Tazler1.531111113LSep 7 · 24:30J. Tazler2.001111991M. Sychra1.7313511113LSep 6 · 23:00J. Tazler2.38811111482J. Louda1.531191312113LSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100WSep 6 · 17:00K. Schopf2.206440J. Tazler1.611111113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143WSep 6 · 15:00J. Tazler1.57118165113K. Schopf2.25411141142LSep 6 · 14:00R. Rose1.571311113J. Tazler2.2511870WSep 6 · 03:30J. Tazler1.671112123K. Schopf2.10310100
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