TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13053059
Played Sep 2Finished
Jakub Hradecky
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115411911611––
Martin Sobisek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:56 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJakub Hradecky to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Hradecky above · Martin Sobisek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 68 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Jakub Hradecky at 55.8%
68 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hradecky 20–18 Martin Sobisek Martin Sobisek has won 18 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:56What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hradecky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-18 in 38
Hradecky
Wrong
gap of 2 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hradecky 1554 vs Sobisek 1552
Hradecky
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hradecky 0% vs Sobisek 20%
Sobisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hradecky 10% vs Sobisek 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hradecky -5 · Sobisek -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hradecky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobisek form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHradecky 1.67 / Sobisek 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Hradecky)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13053059
Hradecky1.67
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 84 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it98% 41 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it78% 57 of 73
Sobisek2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 137 of 349
Down 0–1, comes back25% 50 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHradecky7wins
AwaySobisek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHradecky leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHradecky71.4%5 of 7
AwaySobisek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hradecky7Sobisek3n = 10Hradecky took 7 of 10
S2Hradecky5Sobisek5n = 10split evenly
S3Hradecky3Sobisek7n = 10Sobisek took 7 of 10
S4Hradecky6Sobisek2n = 8Hradecky took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHradeckySobisekH − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.534.3+4.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHradeckySobisekBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 490 vs 555 / 118151.6%47%253 / 490 vs 555 / 1181Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HradeckyHradecky 1.67/Sobisek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Hradecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sobisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 03:30J. Hradecky—11115113M. Sobisek—591171
WAug 27 · 24:00J. Hradecky—41111113M. Sobisek—116371
LAug 26 · 20:30J. Hradecky—1171071M. Sobisek—91112113
WAug 19 · 09:30J. Hradecky—125811123M. Sobisek—1011117102
LAug 19 · 08:30J. Hradecky—81090M. Sobisek—1112113
WAug 6 · 20:30J. Hradecky—1111113M. Sobisek—3230
LAug 4 · 24:00J. Hradecky—124981M. Sobisek—101111113
WAug 3 · 20:30J. Hradecky—1191111113M. Sobisek—13114282
WJul 21 · 23:30J. Hradecky—11115113M. Sobisek—771181
WJun 28 · 10:00J. Hradecky—16115113M. Sobisek—1471141
J. Hradecky10
WSep 3 · 17:00J. Stolfa1.733760J. Hradecky2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153LSep 3 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.918141281J. Stolfa1.80111214113LSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 2 · 02:00M. Chlebecek1.838680J. Hradecky1.831111113LSep 1 · 23:00J. Hradecky2.75119671J. Tazler1.4071111113LSep 1 · 22:00M. Regner1.441311163J. Hradecky2.63118140LAug 31 · 20:59S. Kadavy1.6161111113J. Hradecky2.20119981LAug 31 · 20:00J. Hradecky2.101011118112S. Kadavy1.67122811133LAug 31 · 19:30J. Pozarsky2.5091211113J. Hradecky1.501110931
M. Sobisek10
LSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480WSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890WSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113WSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123WSep 6 · 18:30V. Cermak2.005450M. Sobisek1.731111113WSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153
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