TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065100
Played Sep 3Finished
Jakub Hradecky
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
81114121214811––
Jakub Stolfa
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Stolfa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Hradecky above · Jakub Stolfa below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 90 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jakub Stolfa at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hradecky 3–7 Jakub Stolfa Jakub Hradecky has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:19What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Stolfa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Stolfa
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hradecky 1548 vs Stolfa 1712
Stolfa
Correct
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hradecky 20% vs Stolfa 60%
Stolfa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hradecky 10% vs Stolfa 50%
Stolfa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hradecky -1 · Stolfa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Stolfa) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hradecky form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHradecky 1.91 / Stolfa 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Stolfa)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065100
Hradecky1.91
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog33% won 24 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back13% 6 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Stolfa1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 76 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it100% 33 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it80% 51 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHradecky3wins
AwayStolfa7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderStolfa leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHradecky50%3 of 6
AwayStolfa100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hradecky6Stolfa4n = 10Hradecky took 6 of 10
S2Hradecky3Stolfa7n = 10Stolfa took 7 of 10
S3Hradecky4Stolfa6n = 10Stolfa took 6 of 10
S4Hradecky3Stolfa5n = 8Stolfa took 5 of 8
S5Hradecky2Stolfa3n = 5Stolfa took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHradeckyStolfaH − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.740.5−1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHradeckyStolfaBasisWin rate · lifetime250 / 484 vs 180 / 34551.7%52.2%250 / 484 vs 180 / 345Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StolfaHradecky 1.91/Stolfa 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Stolfa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stolfa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 18:00J. Hradecky—1196111J. Stolfa—61111133
LAug 30 · 09:30J. Hradecky—115871J. Stolfa—71111113
LAug 30 · 08:00J. Hradecky—101111252J. Stolfa—128411113
WAug 19 · 07:00J. Hradecky—1111113J. Stolfa—7430
WAug 5 · 09:01J. Hradecky—1161111113J. Stolfa—71141362
LAug 5 · 08:00J. Hradecky—97111182J. Stolfa—111166113
LAug 2 · 20:30J. Hradecky—10250J. Stolfa—1211113
WAug 2 · 17:00J. Hradecky—119511133J. Stolfa—911115112
LAug 2 · 14:30J. Hradecky—1110131142J. Stolfa—812158113
LJul 30 · 15:30J. Hradecky—712891J. Stolfa—111011113
J. Hradecky10
WSep 3 · 17:00J. Stolfa1.733760J. Hradecky2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153LSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 2 · 02:00M. Chlebecek1.838680J. Hradecky1.831111113LSep 2 · 24:30J. Hradecky1.67114961M. Sobisek2.1051111113LSep 1 · 23:00J. Hradecky2.75119671J. Tazler1.4071111113LSep 1 · 22:00M. Regner1.441311163J. Hradecky2.63118140LAug 31 · 20:59S. Kadavy1.6161111113J. Hradecky2.20119981LAug 31 · 20:00J. Hradecky2.101011118112S. Kadavy1.67122811133LAug 31 · 19:30J. Pozarsky2.5091211113J. Hradecky1.501110931
J. Stolfa10
LSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113WSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113LSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113WSep 4 · 16:00J. Stolfa2.5081111113D. Hofman1.50119881LSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192LSep 4 · 14:00J. Stolfa3.4061111782M. Pikous1.30117911113WSep 4 · 08:58D. Hofman1.4012115992J. Stolfa2.751091111113LSep 3 · 17:00J. Stolfa1.733760J. Hradecky2.001111113
Upcoming Matches
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