TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13051781
Played Sep 1Finished
Michal Regner
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
13111181614––––
Jakub Hradecky
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:05 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timeMichal Regner to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Regner above · Jakub Hradecky below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 16-14
Point 73 set 3, 16-14 — our read held Michal Regner at 60.3%
73 points played in total.
H2H Michal Regner 3–0 Jakub Hradecky Jakub Hradecky has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:05What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Regner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Regner
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1639 vs Hradecky 1574
Regner
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 20% vs Hradecky 0%
Regner
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 40% vs Hradecky 20%
Regner
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner +1 · Hradecky -5
Hradecky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Regner) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hradecky form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.44 / Hradecky 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Regner)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13051781
Regner1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 112 of 219
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it70% 83 of 119
Hradecky2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 26 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back18% 9 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeRegner3wins
AwayHradecky0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderRegner leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner2Hradecky1n = 3Regner took 2 of 3
S2Regner3Hradecky0n = 3Regner took 3 of 3
S3Regner2Hradecky1n = 3Regner took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricRegnerHradeckyR − HBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.329.7+9.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerHradeckyBasisWin rate · lifetime513 / 1062 vs 253 / 48848.3%51.8%513 / 1062 vs 253 / 488Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RegnerRegner 1.44/Hradecky 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Regner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 26 · 23:00M. Regner—1111113J. Hradecky—7870
WAug 25 · 24:00M. Regner—8111111113J. Hradecky—11713792
WAug 13 · 24:00M. Regner—1111113J. Hradecky—7670
M. Regner10
WSep 6 · 02:59M. Pikous1.738860M. Regner2.001111113WSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113LSep 6 · 01:00J. Tazler2.5011811113M. Regner1.50511551LSep 5 · 23:30M. Regner2.25118511102K. Schopf1.57511117123LSep 5 · 22:00M. Regner2.00115861M. Pikous1.7381111113LSep 4 · 09:30M. Vondrak1.5711155113M. Regner2.259131161LSep 4 · 08:30M. Regner2.10118871M. Vondrak1.6791111113WSep 4 · 07:00M. Regner1.73117913113D. Hofman2.00911111162WSep 4 · 06:00J. Stolfa2.204980M. Regner1.611111113WSep 3 · 09:28M. Regner2.2011128113M. Klement1.617101141
J. Hradecky10
WSep 3 · 17:00J. Stolfa1.733760J. Hradecky2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153LSep 3 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.918141281J. Stolfa1.80111214113LSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 2 · 02:00M. Chlebecek1.838680J. Hradecky1.831111113LSep 2 · 24:30J. Hradecky1.67114961M. Sobisek2.1051111113LSep 1 · 23:00J. Hradecky2.75119671J. Tazler1.4071111113LAug 31 · 20:59S. Kadavy1.6161111113J. Hradecky2.20119981LAug 31 · 20:00J. Hradecky2.101011118112S. Kadavy1.67122811133LAug 31 · 19:30J. Pozarsky2.5091211113J. Hradecky1.501110931
Upcoming Matches
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