TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13081772
Played Sep 6Finished
Martin Sobisek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5118111171012––
Marek Chlebecek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:08 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeMarek Chlebecek to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sobisek above · Marek Chlebecek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 75 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Marek Chlebecek at 58.1%
75 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sobisek 9–10 Marek Chlebecek Martin Sobisek has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:08What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Chlebecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobisek 1539 vs Chlebecek 1541
Chlebecek
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobisek 60% vs Chlebecek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobisek 30% vs Chlebecek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobisek +1 · Chlebecek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chlebecek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobisek 2.00 / Chlebecek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chlebecek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13081772
Sobisek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 138 of 359
Down 0–1, comes back25% 51 of 206
Down 0–2, comes back7% 9 of 123
Chlebecek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite54% won 34 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it71% 27 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobisek7wins
AwayChlebecek3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderSobisek leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobisek100%3 of 3
AwayChlebecek42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobisek3Chlebecek7n = 10Chlebecek took 7 of 10
S2Sobisek5Chlebecek5n = 10split evenly
S3Sobisek8Chlebecek2n = 10Sobisek took 8 of 10
S4Sobisek5Chlebecek3n = 8Sobisek took 5 of 8
S5Sobisek5Chlebecek2n = 7Sobisek took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobisekChlebecekS − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match45.143.1+2.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobisekChlebecekBasisWin rate · lifetime544 / 1169 vs 107 / 22646.5%47.4%544 / 1169 vs 107 / 226Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChlebecekSobisek 2.00/Chlebecek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Chlebecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chlebecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 22:30M. Sobisek—1111153M. Chlebecek—38130
LAug 24 · 24:00M. Sobisek—381141M. Chlebecek—11115113
WAug 23 · 18:30M. Sobisek—8161110133M. Chlebecek—1114912112
LAug 8 · 03:30M. Sobisek—91171182M. Chlebecek—119114113
WAug 8 · 24:00M. Sobisek—671312113M. Chlebecek—1111111092
WJul 24 · 24:00M. Sobisek—118118123M. Chlebecek—711811102
WJul 19 · 23:30M. Sobisek—1111113M. Chlebecek—6780
WJun 11 · 24:00M. Sobisek—1111811133M. Chlebecek—137117112
WJun 8 · 01:30M. Sobisek—971111113M. Chlebecek—11114982
LMay 31 · 16:30M. Sobisek—99171132M. Chlebecek—1111156113
M. Sobisek10
LSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480WSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890WSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113WSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113WSep 6 · 18:30V. Cermak2.005450M. Sobisek1.731111113LSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153
M. Chlebecek10
WSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101WSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681WSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113WSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890LSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670LSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272LSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113WSep 2 · 03:30M. Regner1.91911681M. Chlebecek1.8011511113LSep 2 · 02:00M. Chlebecek1.838680J. Hradecky1.831111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.