TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083169
Played Sep 7Finished
Martin Sobisek
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511117311411––
Matej Volf
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:10 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Sobisek to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Sobisek above · Matej Volf below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 63 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Martin Sobisek at 62.9%
63 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sobisek 14–7 Matej Volf Matej Volf has won 7 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:10What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Sobisek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-7 in 21
Sobisek
Wrong
gap of 7 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobisek 1555 vs Volf 1544
Sobisek
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobisek 60% vs Volf 40%
Sobisek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobisek 60% vs Volf 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobisek -1 · Volf -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Sobisek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobisek 1.44 / Volf 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Sobisek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083169
Sobisek1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 106 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it98% 58 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it78% 76 of 98
Volf2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 31 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back28% 12 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobisek8wins
AwayVolf2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSobisek leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobisek100%7 of 7
AwayVolf66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobisek7Volf3n = 10Sobisek took 7 of 10
S2Sobisek8Volf2n = 10Sobisek took 8 of 10
S3Sobisek8Volf2n = 10Sobisek took 8 of 10
S4Sobisek3Volf2n = 5Sobisek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobisekVolfS − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.431.4+8.0per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobisekVolfBasisWin rate · lifetime547 / 1174 vs 206 / 40046.6%51.5%547 / 1174 vs 206 / 400Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobisekSobisek 1.44/Volf 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Sobisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Volf won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 11 · 01:30M. Sobisek—1111113M. Volf—6920
WJul 21 · 22:30M. Sobisek—1111113M. Volf—9860
LJul 21 · 20:30M. Sobisek—98111192M. Volf—111188113
WJul 19 · 22:30M. Sobisek—11118123M. Volf—3411101
WJun 7 · 23:00M. Sobisek—111211113M. Volf—714981
WMay 9 · 23:30M. Sobisek—1111113M. Volf—9740
LMay 9 · 21:30M. Sobisek—812861M. Volf—111011113
WMay 9 · 18:30M. Sobisek—1111183M. Volf—85160
WApr 5 · 03:30M. Sobisek—812119113M. Volf—111031162
WApr 5 · 01:00M. Sobisek—1113113M. Volf—71180
M. Sobisek10
LSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480WSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890WSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113WSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123WSep 6 · 18:30V. Cermak2.005450M. Sobisek1.731111113LSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153
M. Volf10
LSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681LSep 6 · 23:30M. Volf1.618860V. Cermak2.201111113LSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192LSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102WSep 6 · 19:00R. Krejci2.007680M. Volf1.731111113WSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102LAug 11 · 01:30M. Sobisek1.501111113M. Volf2.506920WAug 11 · 24:00M. Volf1.6791311113A. Hlawatschke2.101111541WAug 10 · 23:00P. Zmuda1.9134120M. Volf1.801111143
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