TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082685
Played Sep 6Finished
Richard Krejci
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611811––––
Matej Volf
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatej Volf to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Krejci above · Matej Volf below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Matej Volf at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Richard Krejci 6–4 Matej Volf Matej Volf has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:59What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Volf
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Krejci
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krejci 1606 vs Volf 1547
Krejci
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krejci 40% vs Volf 80%
Volf
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krejci 50% vs Volf 80%
Volf
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krejci -2 · Volf +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volf)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volf form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrejci 2.00 / Volf 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Volf)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082685
Krejci2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 18 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Volf1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 37 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it81% 29 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrejci6wins
AwayVolf4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKrejci leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrejci100%4 of 4
AwayVolf66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krejci4Volf6n = 10Volf took 6 of 10
S2Krejci6Volf4n = 10Krejci took 6 of 10
S3Krejci4Volf6n = 10Volf took 6 of 10
S4Krejci3Volf2n = 5Krejci took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrejciVolfK − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.136.1+1.0per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrejciVolfBasisWin rate · lifetime179 / 340 vs 204 / 39552.7%51.7%179 / 340 vs 204 / 395Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolfKrejci 2.00/Volf 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Volf · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Volf won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 20 · 02:00R. Krejci—71111153M. Volf—1147131
LJan 22 · 01:30R. Krejci—88120M. Volf—1111143
LSep 11 · 24:30R. Krejci—74100M. Volf—1111123
LSep 2 · 22:30R. Krejci—11138101M. Volf—131111123
WAug 7 · 03:00R. Krejci—1061111163M. Volf—121193142
LAug 6 · 22:30R. Krejci—9980M. Volf—1111113
WMay 25 · 22:30R. Krejci—111156113M. Volf—76111192
WApr 6 · 01:30R. Krejci—1111113M. Volf—9650
WMar 12 · 01:00R. Krejci—1114143M. Volf—712120
WMar 10 · 02:00R. Krejci—12116113M. Volf—1071141
R. Krejci10
WSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480LSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670WSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113WSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682LSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861LSep 5 · 03:28S. Kadavy1.5711811113R. Krejci2.25611491WSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350
M. Volf10
LSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681WSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 6 · 23:30M. Volf1.618860V. Cermak2.201111113LSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192LSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102WSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102LAug 11 · 01:30M. Sobisek1.501111113M. Volf2.506920WAug 11 · 24:00M. Volf1.6791311113A. Hlawatschke2.101111541WAug 10 · 23:00P. Zmuda1.9134120M. Volf1.801111143
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