TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083353
Played Sep 6Finished
Richard Krejci
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111181012116118
Tomas Janata
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:49 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeRichard Krejci to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Krejci above · Tomas Janata below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 95 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Richard Krejci at 57.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Richard Krejci 18–12 Tomas Janata Tomas Janata has won 12 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:49What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Krejci
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-12 in 30
Krejci
Correct
gap of 6 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krejci 1575 vs Janata 1556
Krejci
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krejci 40% vs Janata 60%
Janata
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krejci 40% vs Janata 60%
Janata
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krejci -3 · Janata +1
Krejci
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krejci) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krejci form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrejci 1.80 / Janata 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krejci)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083353
Krejci1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 53 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Janata1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog34% won 36 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back16% 8 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrejci5wins
AwayJanata5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrejci75%3 of 4
AwayJanata66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krejci4Janata6n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S2Krejci4Janata6n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S3Krejci7Janata3n = 10Krejci took 7 of 10
S4Krejci5Janata4n = 9Krejci took 5 of 9
S5Krejci2Janata2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrejciJanataK − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.439.9+1.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrejciJanataBasisWin rate · lifetime179 / 341 vs 427 / 81352.5%52.5%179 / 341 vs 427 / 813Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrejciKrejci 1.80/Janata 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krejci · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krejci won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 01:00R. Krejci—9101161T. Janata—11129113
LAug 18 · 02:00R. Krejci—111071182T. Janata—312118113
LAug 9 · 23:30R. Krejci—88111192T. Janata—111169113
WJan 19 · 23:30R. Krejci—141139113T. Janata—128111152
LDec 9 · 03:30R. Krejci—411991T. Janata—11711113
LDec 5 · 24:30R. Krejci—1091181T. Janata—12118113
WDec 3 · 02:30R. Krejci—71111113T. Janata—118661
WNov 10 · 01:00R. Krejci—1112113T. Janata—91060
WNov 5 · 04:00R. Krejci—881111113T. Janata—11117992
WNov 5 · 24:30R. Krejci—11911113T. Janata—511961
R. Krejci10
WSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480LSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670WSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 19:00R. Krejci2.007680M. Volf1.731111113LSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861LSep 5 · 03:28S. Kadavy1.5711811113R. Krejci2.25611491WSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350
T. Janata10
LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721LSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102WSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113WSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:30T. Janata2.00119891R. Krejci1.7381111113WSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540LSep 1 · 02:30D. Tuma2.10101111113T. Janata1.67124971
Upcoming Matches
R. Krejci
Nothing scheduled
T. Janata
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