TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13094894
Played Sep 7Finished
Tomas Janata
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111171113611––
Lubos Krticka
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:57 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeTomas Janata to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Janata above · Lubos Krticka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 76 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Tomas Janata at 54.2%
76 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Janata 9–6 Lubos Krticka Lubos Krticka has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:57What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Janata
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Janata
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Janata 1527 vs Krticka 1560
Krticka
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Janata 20% vs Krticka 40%
Krticka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Janata 40% vs Krticka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Janata -4 · Krticka -2
Janata
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Janata) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Janata form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJanata 1.53 / Krticka 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Janata)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13094894
Janata1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 113 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it74% 78 of 105
Krticka2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 19 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back33% 9 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back25% 4 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJanata6wins
AwayKrticka4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJanata leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJanata83.3%5 of 6
AwayKrticka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Janata6Krticka4n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S2Janata4Krticka6n = 10Krticka took 6 of 10
S3Janata7Krticka3n = 10Janata took 7 of 10
S4Janata4Krticka3n = 7Janata took 4 of 7
S5Janata2Krticka2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJanataKrtickaJ − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.937.8+1.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJanataKrtickaBasisWin rate · lifetime428 / 818 vs 90 / 19052.3%47.4%428 / 818 vs 90 / 190Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.835.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataJanata 1.53/Krticka 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.6%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krticka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 18:00T. Janata—111194113L. Krticka—98111182
WApr 10 · 19:00T. Janata—1111113L. Krticka—7480
LApr 6 · 20:58T. Janata—8780L. Krticka—1111113
WApr 6 · 19:30T. Janata—41111123L. Krticka—1158101
WJan 2 · 20:00T. Janata—12411123L. Krticka—10118101
LDec 16 · 19:30T. Janata—89111182L. Krticka—111174113
LNov 21 · 20:00T. Janata—991281L. Krticka—111110113
LNov 2 · 22:30T. Janata—11591152L. Krticka—511117113
WNov 2 · 19:30T. Janata—1111113L. Krticka—8990
WOct 6 · 18:00T. Janata—1151113113L. Krticka—71191562
T. Janata10
LSep 7 · 20:00T. Janata1.40591351M. Vedmoch2.75111111113LSep 7 · 19:30J. Hradecky1.3331111113T. Janata3.25117851WSep 7 · 18:00T. Janata1.44111194113L. Krticka2.6398111182LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721LSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102WSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113
L. Krticka10
LSep 7 · 20:30L. Krticka2.503430J. Hradecky1.501111113LSep 7 · 19:00L. Krticka2.10111180M. Vedmoch1.671313113LSep 7 · 18:00T. Janata1.44111194113L. Krticka2.6398111182WAug 16 · 21:29F. Just1.6181070L. Krticka2.201112113LAug 16 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.501111113L. Krticka2.506080WAug 16 · 19:00R. Pavelka2.63101261162L. Krticka1.441210115113WAug 16 · 18:30L. Krticka2.75111495113F. Just1.40612111182WAug 13 · 21:00K. Kapras1.36911111192L. Krticka3.00117613113LAug 13 · 20:00D. Tuma1.3611129113L. Krticka3.007101181LAug 13 · 19:00K. Kapras1.4411123133L. Krticka2.6371011111
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