TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12438209
Played Aug 16Finished
Lubos Krticka
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161412911511118
Frantisek Just
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:11 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Just to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLubos Krticka above · Frantisek Just below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 98 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Frantisek Just at 56.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Lubos Krticka 0–2 Frantisek Just Lubos Krticka has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:11What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Just
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krticka 1561 vs Just 1610
Just
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krticka 20% vs Just 40%
Just
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krticka 40% vs Just 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krticka +1 · Just -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Just) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Just form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrticka 2.75 / Just 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Just)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12438209
Krticka2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog51% won 21 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back33% 9 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back25% 4 of 16
Just1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 59 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it81% 47 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKrticka0wins
AwayJust2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderJust leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKrtickaJustK − JBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match34.542.0−7.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrtickaJustBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 187 vs 187 / 36647.1%51.1%88 / 187 vs 187 / 366Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JustKrticka 2.75/Just 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Just · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krticka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 13 · 18:30L. Krticka—5111051F. Just—11612113
LMay 26 · 20:30L. Krticka—58111132F. Just—111183113
L. Krticka10
WAug 16 · 21:29F. Just1.6181070L. Krticka2.201112113LAug 16 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.501111113L. Krticka2.506080WAug 16 · 19:00R. Pavelka2.63101261162L. Krticka1.441210115113WAug 13 · 21:00K. Kapras1.36911111192L. Krticka3.00117613113LAug 13 · 20:00D. Tuma1.3611129113L. Krticka3.007101181LAug 13 · 19:00K. Kapras1.4411123133L. Krticka2.6371011111LAug 13 · 18:30L. Krticka2.635111051F. Just1.4411612113LAug 5 · 21:30L. Krticka1.7751161142M. Vedmoch1.93117118113WAug 5 · 20:00L. Krticka2.50111211113M. Vedmoch1.501310681LAug 5 · 19:30P. Fojt2.00116118113L. Krticka1.7331191112
F. Just10
WSep 4 · 17:30F. Just1.301311113R. Pavelka3.4011930WSep 4 · 16:30J. Prokupek3.104770F. Just1.301111113WSep 4 · 15:30F. Just1.381111113R. Pavelka2.802760WSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.007780F. Just1.701111113LAug 25 · 02:30F. Just2.385780D. Tuma1.531111113WAug 25 · 01:30M. Vesely2.20115111142F. Just1.61911137113LAug 25 · 24:00F. Just1.833730R. Krejci1.831111113LAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791LAug 16 · 21:29F. Just1.6181070L. Krticka2.201112113WAug 13 · 18:30L. Krticka2.635111051F. Just1.4411612113
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