TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13000519
Played Aug 25Finished
Frantisek Just
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311711311––––
Richard Krejci
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:10 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeRichard Krejci to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Just above · Richard Krejci below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 46 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Richard Krejci at 65.2%
46 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Just 2–1 Richard Krejci Richard Krejci has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:10What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Krejci
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Just 1558 vs Krejci 1564
Krejci
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Just 20% vs Krejci 60%
Krejci
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Just 30% vs Krejci 80%
Krejci
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Just -1 · Krejci +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krejci) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Just form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJust 1.83 / Krejci 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krejci)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13000519
Just1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Krejci1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeJust2wins
AwayKrejci1wins
Just leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Just2Krejci1n = 3Just took 2 of 3
S2Just1Krejci2n = 3Krejci took 2 of 3
S3Just1Krejci2n = 3Krejci took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricJustKrejciJ − KBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match35.034.3+0.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJustKrejciBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 366 vs 179 / 33950%52.8%183 / 366 vs 179 / 339Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrejciJust 1.83/Krejci 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krejci · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krejci won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 26 · 22:00F. Just—11116113R. Krejci—961181
LNov 12 · 02:30F. Just—8880R. Krejci—1111113
WOct 28 · 03:00F. Just—11811123R. Krejci—8117101
F. Just10
WSep 4 · 17:30F. Just1.301311113R. Pavelka3.4011930WSep 4 · 16:30J. Prokupek3.104770F. Just1.301111113WSep 4 · 15:30F. Just1.381111113R. Pavelka2.802760WSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.007780F. Just1.701111113LAug 25 · 02:30F. Just2.385780D. Tuma1.531111113WAug 25 · 01:30M. Vesely2.20115111142F. Just1.61911137113LAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791WAug 21 · 16:59J. Stolfa2.505380F. Just1.501111113LAug 21 · 16:30F. Just1.449870J. Stolfa2.631111113LAug 21 · 15:00F. Just3.506660M. Sobisek1.281111113
R. Krejci10
WSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480LSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670WSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113WSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682LSep 6 · 19:00R. Krejci2.007680M. Volf1.731111113LSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861LSep 5 · 03:28S. Kadavy1.5711811113R. Krejci2.25611491
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