TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12465801
Played Aug 21Finished
Frantisek Just
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611611––––
Martin Sobisek
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:15 and never touched — 81.9% is still 81.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Sobisek to win
81.9%
81.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Just above · Martin Sobisek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 51 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Martin Sobisek at 81.9%
51 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Just 1–13 Martin Sobisek Frantisek Just has won 1 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:15What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Sobisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-13 in 14
Sobisek
Correct
gap of 12 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Just 1570 vs Sobisek 1727
Sobisek
Correct
both rated, 157 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Just 40% vs Sobisek 60%
Sobisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Just 40% vs Sobisek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Just -1 · Sobisek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Sobisek) · live re-read · sealed at 82% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobisek form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJust 3.50 / Sobisek 1.28
Signal prob.11% / 89%
Edge (Sobisek)+15.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12465801
Just3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 20 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back10% 4 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Sobisek1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 99 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it98% 54 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it75% 70 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJust0wins
AwaySobisek10wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSobisek leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJust0%0 of 3
AwaySobisek100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Just3Sobisek7n = 10Sobisek took 7 of 10
S2Just2Sobisek8n = 10Sobisek took 8 of 10
S3Just1Sobisek9n = 10Sobisek took 9 of 10
S4Just0Sobisek3n = 3Sobisek took 3 of 3
S5Just0Sobisek3n = 3Sobisek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away770%
These 10 meetings
MetricJustSobisekJ − SBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match28.438.6−10.2per matchSweeps07−73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJustSobisekBasisWin rate · lifetime190 / 373 vs 554 / 117550.9%47.2%190 / 373 vs 554 / 1175Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobisekJust 3.50/Sobisek 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.9%
Sobisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sobisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 15:00F. Just—6660M. Sobisek—1111113
LAug 19 · 12:00F. Just—81220M. Sobisek—1114113
LApr 5 · 02:00F. Just—6690M. Sobisek—1111113
LMar 24 · 23:00F. Just—8540M. Sobisek—1111113
LSep 24 · 12:30F. Just—4380M. Sobisek—1111113
LAug 29 · 16:00F. Just—11129792M. Sobisek—8101111113
LAug 22 · 10:00F. Just—13870M. Sobisek—1511113
LJul 23 · 20:30F. Just—11711642M. Sobisek—811611113
LJul 22 · 16:30F. Just—11119972M. Sobisek—761111113
LJul 15 · 01:30F. Just—111170M. Sobisek—1313113
F. Just10
WSep 4 · 17:30F. Just1.301311113R. Pavelka3.4011930WSep 4 · 16:30J. Prokupek3.104770F. Just1.301111113WSep 4 · 15:30F. Just1.381111113R. Pavelka2.802760WSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.007780F. Just1.701111113LAug 25 · 02:30F. Just2.385780D. Tuma1.531111113WAug 25 · 01:30M. Vesely2.20115111142F. Just1.61911137113LAug 25 · 24:00F. Just1.833730R. Krejci1.831111113LAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791WAug 21 · 16:59J. Stolfa2.505380F. Just1.501111113LAug 21 · 16:30F. Just1.449870J. Stolfa2.631111113
M. Sobisek10
LSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480WSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890WSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113WSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123WSep 6 · 18:30V. Cermak2.005450M. Sobisek1.731111113LSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271
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