TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077700
Played Sep 4Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
3.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711711––––
Frantisek Just
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:12 and never touched — 70.1% is still 70.1%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Just to win
70.1%
70.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Frantisek Just below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 51 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Frantisek Just at 70.1%
51 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 0–6 Frantisek Just Jaroslav Prokupek has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:12What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (70%)
Just
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-6 in 6
Just
Correct
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1459 vs Just 1584
Just
Correct
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 60% vs Just 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 50% vs Just 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek +1 · Just +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Just) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Just form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 3.10 / Just 1.30
Signal prob.28% / 73%
Edge (Just)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077700
Prokupek3.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 100 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 73
Just1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 60 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it80% 48 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeProkupek0wins
AwayJust6wins
Just leads 6–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupekn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayJust100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek0Just6n = 6Just took 6 of 6
S2Prokupek0Just6n = 6Just took 6 of 6
S3Prokupek2Just4n = 6Just took 4 of 6
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away467%
These 6 meetings
MetricProkupekJustP − JBasisWins06−6in 6 meetingsFirst set06−6of 6Avg pointsper match20.235.3−15.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekJustBasisWin rate · lifetime638 / 1339 vs 174 / 35147.7%49.6%638 / 1339 vs 174 / 351Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JustProkupek 3.10/Just 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.5%
Just · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Just won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LMar 13 · 07:00J. Prokupek—2360F. Just—1111113
LApr 16 · 13:30J. Prokupek—5960F. Just—1111113
LApr 16 · 11:00J. Prokupek—9111171F. Just—11134113
LFeb 27 · 13:30J. Prokupek—2530F. Just—1111113
LFeb 16 · 14:30J. Prokupek—2450F. Just—1111113
LFeb 16 · 11:00J. Prokupek—961151F. Just—11118113
J. Prokupek10
WSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113LSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.2581111113J. Trefny1.57117741LSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750WSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461LSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113LSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 4 · 16:58J. Prokupek1.50581111113D. Parhomenko2.5011117582
F. Just10
WSep 4 · 17:30F. Just1.301311113R. Pavelka3.4011930WSep 4 · 15:30F. Just1.381111113R. Pavelka2.802760WSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.007780F. Just1.701111113LAug 25 · 02:30F. Just2.385780D. Tuma1.531111113WAug 25 · 01:30M. Vesely2.20115111142F. Just1.61911137113LAug 25 · 24:00F. Just1.833730R. Krejci1.831111113LAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791WAug 21 · 16:59J. Stolfa2.505380F. Just1.501111113LAug 21 · 16:30F. Just1.449870J. Stolfa2.631111113LAug 21 · 15:00F. Just3.506660M. Sobisek1.281111113
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