TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13000525
Played Aug 25Finished
Frantisek Just
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711811––––
Daniel Tuma
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:08 and never touched — 60.2% is still 60.2%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
60.2%
60.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Just above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 53 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 60.2%
53 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Just 12–18 Daniel Tuma Frantisek Just has won 12 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:08What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Tuma
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-18 in 30
Tuma
Correct
gap of 6 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Just 1568 vs Tuma 1562
Just
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Just 40% vs Tuma 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Just 30% vs Tuma 50%
Tuma
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Just +1 · Tuma -3
Tuma
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Tuma) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJust 2.38 / Tuma 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Tuma)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13000525
Just2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 20 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back10% 4 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Tuma1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 151 of 252
Up 2–0, closes it95% 70 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it76% 110 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJust5wins
AwayTuma5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJust60%3 of 5
AwayTuma60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Just5Tuma5n = 10split evenly
S2Just4Tuma6n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S3Just4Tuma6n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S4Just2Tuma5n = 7Tuma took 5 of 7
S5Just3Tuma1n = 4Just took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricJustTumaJ − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.039.8−3.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJustTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 368 vs 769 / 147750%52.1%184 / 368 vs 769 / 1477Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaJust 2.38/Tuma 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.8%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 27 · 02:30F. Just—8380D. Tuma—1111113
LJul 23 · 13:02F. Just—11411452D. Tuma—911611113
WJul 23 · 11:00F. Just—111011113D. Tuma—512561
WJul 21 · 06:30F. Just—13116123D. Tuma—11811101
LJul 8 · 17:00F. Just—8970D. Tuma—1111113
WJul 8 · 15:30F. Just—3141110113D. Tuma—111291232
LJul 4 · 11:30F. Just—7350D. Tuma—1111113
LJun 21 · 11:30F. Just—1110871D. Tuma—61211113
WApr 19 · 17:29F. Just—131165113D. Tuma—114111192
WApr 19 · 15:30F. Just—713119113D. Tuma—111181192
F. Just10
WSep 4 · 17:30F. Just1.301311113R. Pavelka3.4011930WSep 4 · 16:30J. Prokupek3.104770F. Just1.301111113WSep 4 · 15:30F. Just1.381111113R. Pavelka2.802760WSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.007780F. Just1.701111113WAug 25 · 01:30M. Vesely2.20115111142F. Just1.61911137113LAug 25 · 24:00F. Just1.833730R. Krejci1.831111113LAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791WAug 21 · 16:59J. Stolfa2.505380F. Just1.501111113LAug 21 · 16:30F. Just1.449870J. Stolfa2.631111113LAug 21 · 15:00F. Just3.506660M. Sobisek1.281111113
D. Tuma10
WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133WSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113WSep 3 · 18:30D. Tuma1.40111212113V. Postelt2.757101481WSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:00D. Tuma1.911111113J. Stolfa1.809770LSep 3 · 15:30M. Sobisek2.00118119133D. Tuma1.73411711112WSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 1 · 21:28D. Tuma1.91128511113K. Kapras1.80101111492WSep 1 · 20:30D. Tuma2.20117117113K. Kapras1.6141161152
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