TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13078540
Played Sep 4Finished
Frantisek Just
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311119113––––
Radim Pavelka
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingFrantisek Just above · Radim Pavelka below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 58 set 3, 11-3
58 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Just 3–0 Radim Pavelka Radim Pavelka has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Just)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pavelka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJust 1.30 / Pavelka 3.40
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Just)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13078540
Just1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 60 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it80% 48 of 60
Pavelka3.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 80 of 188
Down 0–1, comes back25% 26 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeJust3wins
AwayPavelka0wins
Just leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJust100%3 of 3
AwayPavelkan = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Just3Pavelka0n = 3Just took 3 of 3
S2Just3Pavelka0n = 3Just took 3 of 3
S3Just2Pavelka1n = 3Just took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricJustPavelkaJ − PBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match38.326.7+11.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJustPavelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 351 vs 448 / 88249.6%50.8%174 / 351 vs 448 / 882Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JustJust 1.30/Pavelka 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Just · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Just won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 16 · 20:30F. Just—111412113R. Pavelka—9121481
WJul 17 · 16:30F. Just—1111113R. Pavelka—3760
WMay 6 · 08:30F. Just—1211113R. Pavelka—10380
F. Just10
WSep 4 · 16:30J. Prokupek3.104770F. Just1.301111113WSep 4 · 15:30F. Just1.381111113R. Pavelka2.802760WSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.007780F. Just1.701111113LAug 25 · 02:30F. Just2.385780D. Tuma1.531111113WAug 25 · 01:30M. Vesely2.20115111142F. Just1.61911137113LAug 25 · 24:00F. Just1.833730R. Krejci1.831111113LAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791WAug 21 · 16:59J. Stolfa2.505380F. Just1.501111113LAug 21 · 16:30F. Just1.449870J. Stolfa2.631111113LAug 21 · 15:00F. Just3.506660M. Sobisek1.281111113
R. Pavelka10
WSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:00R. Pavelka1.611015561J. Trefny2.20121311113LSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781WSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 5 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.361111113R. Pavelka3.008550LSep 5 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.2581111113R. Pavelka3.75117471WSep 5 · 07:30R. Pavelka2.251161111113T. Holik1.5751113792WSep 5 · 06:30M. Sedlak1.806780R. Pavelka1.911111113WSep 4 · 16:00R. Pavelka1.7313115113D. Parhomenko2.001151191LSep 4 · 15:30F. Just1.381111113R. Pavelka2.802760
Upcoming Matches
F. Just
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R. Pavelka
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