TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082253
Played Sep 6Finished
Martin Vizek
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611118118116––
Richard Krejci
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:29 and never touched — 60.2% is still 60.2%
Graded at full timeMartin Vizek to win
60.2%
60.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Vizek above · Richard Krejci below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-6
Point 70 set 4, 9-6 — our read held Martin Vizek at 60.2%
70 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Martin Vizek 5–2 Richard Krejci Richard Krejci has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:29What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vizek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Vizek
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vizek 1604 vs Krejci 1618
Krejci
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vizek 80% vs Krejci 60%
Vizek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vizek 40% vs Krejci 60%
Krejci
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vizek -1 · Krejci -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vizek) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krejci form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVizek 1.50 / Krejci 2.50
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Krejci)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082253
Vizek1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 44 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it82% 32 of 39
Krejci2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 18 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeVizek5wins
AwayKrejci2wins
1 of 7 to a deciderVizek leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVizek100%3 of 3
AwayKrejci50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vizek3Krejci4n = 7Krejci took 4 of 7
S2Vizek5Krejci2n = 7Vizek took 5 of 7
S3Vizek4Krejci3n = 7Vizek took 4 of 7
S4Vizek3Krejci2n = 5Vizek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricVizekKrejciV − KBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match38.032.9+5.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVizekKrejciBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 417 vs 179 / 33951.1%52.8%213 / 417 vs 179 / 339Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VizekVizek 1.50/Krejci 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.3%
Vizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJul 30 · 02:00M. Vizek—1111312113R. Krejci—76111462
WJul 25 · 01:30M. Vizek—111311113R. Krejci—415731
WApr 4 · 22:30M. Vizek—1111113R. Krejci—6890
LMar 27 · 23:30M. Vizek—6860R. Krejci—1111113
WDec 24 · 15:30M. Vizek—61111103R. Krejci—113371
WMay 25 · 24:00M. Vizek—91311143R. Krejci—11116121
LApr 6 · 24:30M. Vizek—4111091R. Krejci—11312113
M. Vizek10
LSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192WSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102LSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721LAug 30 · 21:28M. Vizek1.80341171M. Nohejl1.9111118113WAug 30 · 20:00M. Vizek1.73511611113M. Nohejl2.0011811772WAug 30 · 19:30T. Janata2.20361191M. Vizek1.6111117113WAug 30 · 18:00M. Vizek2.2581613113T. Vinter1.5711141161WAug 26 · 16:58M. Sedlak1.806760M. Vizek1.911111113LAug 26 · 16:00J. Pozarsky1.731111113M. Vizek2.005980LAug 26 · 15:00M. Sedlak1.83661211113M. Vizek1.83111110982
R. Krejci10
WSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480LSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670WSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113WSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682LSep 6 · 19:00R. Krejci2.007680M. Volf1.731111113LSep 5 · 03:28S. Kadavy1.5711811113R. Krejci2.25611491WSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350
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