TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13040726
Played Aug 30Finished
Martin Vizek
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
81116141311116––
Tomas Vinter
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:58 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeMartin Vizek to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Vizek above · Tomas Vinter below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 90 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Martin Vizek at 61.6%
90 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vizek 0–3 Tomas Vinter Martin Vizek has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:58What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vinter
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Vinter
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vizek 1557 vs Vinter 1483
Vizek
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vizek 20% vs Vinter 40%
Vinter
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vizek 20% vs Vinter 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vizek +1 · Vinter -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Vinter) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vinter form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVizek 2.25 / Vinter 1.57
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Vizek)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13040726
Vizek2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 36 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back30% 14 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back16% 3 of 19
Vinter1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite53% won 70 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it92% 35 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it81% 57 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVizek0wins
AwayVinter3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderVinter leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vizek1Vinter2n = 3Vinter took 2 of 3
S2Vizek0Vinter3n = 3Vinter took 3 of 3
S3Vizek1Vinter2n = 3Vinter took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricVizekVinterVizek − VinterBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match30.039.3−9.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVizekVinterBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 417 vs 268 / 52650.8%51%212 / 417 vs 268 / 526Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VinterVizek 2.25/Vinter 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Vinter · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LApr 27 · 06:30M. Vizek—11881192T. Vinter—511119113
LNov 27 · 07:00M. Vizek—551141T. Vinter—11115113
LJun 10 · 15:30M. Vizek—8460T. Vinter—1111113
M. Vizek10
LSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192WSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102LSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721WSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861LAug 30 · 21:28M. Vizek1.80341171M. Nohejl1.9111118113WAug 30 · 20:00M. Vizek1.73511611113M. Nohejl2.0011811772WAug 30 · 19:30T. Janata2.20361191M. Vizek1.6111117113WAug 26 · 16:58M. Sedlak1.806760M. Vizek1.911111113LAug 26 · 16:00J. Pozarsky1.731111113M. Vizek2.005980LAug 26 · 15:00M. Sedlak1.83661211113M. Vizek1.83111110982
T. Vinter10
LSep 3 · 21:00M. Sedlak1.611211113T. Vinter2.2010990LSep 3 · 20:30T. Vinter1.738280V. Postelt2.001111113LSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113LSep 3 · 18:00M. Sedlak1.80121111113T. Vinter1.911013251LSep 1 · 21:12J. Dedek2.1511118113T. Vinter1.63221121LSep 1 · 20:00T. Vinter1.5010340M. Vedmoch2.501211113WSep 1 · 19:30J. Dedek2.20119511112T. Vinter1.61911118133LSep 1 · 18:00T. Vinter1.36861181M. Kolar3.0011119113WAug 30 · 20:59T. Vinter2.251111123T. Janata1.5795100WAug 30 · 20:30T. Vinter3.001112123T. Janata1.36410100
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