TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042089
Played Aug 30Finished
Tomas Janata
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311611117911––
Martin Vizek
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:14 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeMartin Vizek to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingTomas Janata above · Martin Vizek below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 69 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Martin Vizek at 55.3%
69 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Janata 13–18 Martin Vizek Tomas Janata has won 13 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:14What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vizek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-18 in 31
Vizek
Correct
gap of 5 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Janata 1557 vs Vizek 1566
Vizek
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Janata 20% vs Vizek 40%
Vizek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Janata 40% vs Vizek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Janata -4 · Vizek +2
Janata
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Vizek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vizek form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJanata 2.20 / Vizek 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Vizek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042089
Janata2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 40 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 31
Vizek1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 45 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it82% 32 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJanata2wins
AwayVizek8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVizek leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJanata66.7%2 of 3
AwayVizek100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Janata3Vizek7n = 10Vizek took 7 of 10
S2Janata1Vizek9n = 10Vizek took 9 of 10
S3Janata3Vizek7n = 10Vizek took 7 of 10
S4Janata4Vizek3n = 7Janata took 4 of 7
S5Janata2Vizek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricJanataVizekJ − VBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.242.0−6.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJanataVizekBasisWin rate · lifetime429 / 820 vs 213 / 41852.3%51%429 / 820 vs 213 / 418Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VizekJanata 2.20/Vizek 1.61
Hit
What we said
58.1%
Vizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 13 · 19:30T. Janata—4611101M. Vizek—11118123
LJun 14 · 03:05T. Janata—5111151M. Vizek—11813113
WJun 13 · 22:30T. Janata—1113711113M. Vizek—41511962
LJun 1 · 17:30T. Janata—8590M. Vizek—1111113
LJun 1 · 15:30T. Janata—14471142M. Vizek—1211119113
LApr 18 · 02:59T. Janata—1061131M. Vizek—12118113
LApr 18 · 01:30T. Janata—101350M. Vizek—1215113
LJan 25 · 24:30T. Janata—5580M. Vizek—1111113
LJan 15 · 23:30T. Janata—77111192M. Vizek—111182113
WJan 10 · 23:30T. Janata—1111911113M. Vizek—61311892
T. Janata10
LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721LSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102WSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113WSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:30T. Janata2.00119891R. Krejci1.7381111113WSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540
M. Vizek10
LSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192WSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102LSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721WSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861LAug 30 · 21:28M. Vizek1.80341171M. Nohejl1.9111118113WAug 30 · 20:00M. Vizek1.73511611113M. Nohejl2.0011811772WAug 30 · 18:00M. Vizek2.2581613113T. Vinter1.5711141161WAug 26 · 16:58M. Sedlak1.806760M. Vizek1.911111113LAug 26 · 16:00J. Pozarsky1.731111113M. Vizek2.005980LAug 26 · 15:00M. Sedlak1.83661211113M. Vizek1.83111110982
Upcoming Matches
T. Janata
M. Vizek
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